Madueke scores late winner as Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest 1-0
Noni Madueke's deflected strike from the bench secured a narrow victory for Arsenal at The City Ground, condemning Nottingham Forest to the relegation zone.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SkySports, 12 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 59% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 60% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 60% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 60% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 62% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 60% |
| 19 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 60% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 62% |
| 15 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 62% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 05:43 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 04:06 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 28 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 56% |
| 28 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 05:36 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 03:19 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 20:00 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 47% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Arsenal respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 18 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 18 October at 17:23 UTC; BBC Sport followed 12 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 21 October at 07:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 61%, with $779 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 13%, with $146 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of any other competition or season.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 10%, with $190 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 11 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal finishes first in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not finish at the top. Readers often mistake the end of a single match, like the recent win against Nottingham Forest, for the final outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsArsenal breakthrough! Madueke's deflected strike sees visitors in front56%
- BBC SportMadueke strikes late but who missed his big chance? - Forest v Arsenal ratings56%
- The Guardian SportMadueke breaks Nottingham Forest’s resistance as dogged Arsenal edge to victory56%
- SI FeedArsenal Player Ratings vs. Nottingham Forest: Madueke Saves Underwhelming Teammates56%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMadueke scores only goal as below-par Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest56%
- SkySportsArsenal win with one shot on target as Forest sink into bottom three56%
- BBC SportMadueke's strike enough as Arsenal pick up narrow win over Forest56%
- BBC SportMadueke's 'anger and conviction' shows he's more than a 'finisher'56%
- SI FeedArsenal Predicted Lineup vs. Bayern Munich: Madueke Earns Starting Berth61%▲5 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportMikel Arteta has mastered the art of making substitutions at Arsenal62%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds61%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Mikel Arteta has mastered the art of making substitutions at Arsenal The Guardian Sport ·
- Madueke scores only goal as below-par Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Madueke breaks Nottingham Forest’s resistance as dogged Arsenal edge to victory The Guardian Sport ·
- Arsenal Predicted Lineup vs. Bayern Munich: Madueke Earns Starting Berth SI Feed
- Madueke's 'anger and conviction' shows he's more than a 'finisher' BBC Sport
- Madueke's strike enough as Arsenal pick up narrow win over Forest BBC Sport
Show 4 more sources
- Arsenal win with one shot on target as Forest sink into bottom three SkySports
- Arsenal Player Ratings vs. Nottingham Forest: Madueke Saves Underwhelming Teammates SI Feed
- Madueke strikes late but who missed his big chance? - Forest v Arsenal ratings BBC Sport
- Arsenal breakthrough! Madueke's deflected strike sees visitors in front SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Arsenal 61% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 10% −7
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Nottingham Forest
- Noni Madueke