Littler's Euro dreams ended by shock defeat to Ratajski
World number one Luke Littler exits the European Championship after losing to Krzysztof Ratajski, ending his bid for a major title clean sweep.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 55% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 50% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 57% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 55% |
| 16 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 58% |
| 15 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 52% |
| 11 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 55% |
| 11 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 54% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 47% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 54% |
| 10 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 54% |
| 10 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 59% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 50% |
| 8 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 49% |
| 8 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 53% |
| 8 Oct, 04:37 UTC | 55% |
| 8 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 51% |
| 8 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 55% |
| 7 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 52% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 57% |
| 6 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 74% |
| 2 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 09:18 UTC | 58% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 55% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 55% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Luke Littler respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 23 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 23 October at 21:51 UTC; SkySports followed 7 min later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 25 October at 22:12 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: BBC Sport, SkySports.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Luke Littler — the market puts it at 48%, closing 22 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Luke Littler wins the 2026-27 PDC World Championship. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific title. Readers often mistake the linked story about his exit from the World Grand Prix as the deciding factor, but only the final result of the World Championship counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Luke Littler at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportLittler through as Van Gerwen suffers early Euros exit48%
- SkySportsLittler begins quest for clean sweep in style as No 1 dominates in Dortmund48%
- SkySportsLittler powers past Aspinall to reach European Championship quarter-finals56%▲8 points since the previous source
- SkySportsLittler seals second-best average ever at European Championship56%
- SkySportsLittler's Euro dreams ended by shock defeat to Ratajski55%▼1 points since the previous source
- SkySportsLittler suffers SHOCK loss at European Championship55%
- Current odds48%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Littler suffers SHOCK loss at European Championship SkySports
- Littler's Euro dreams ended by shock defeat to Ratajski SkySports
- Littler seals second-best average ever at European Championship SkySports
- Littler powers past Aspinall to reach European Championship quarter-finals SkySports
- Littler begins quest for clean sweep in style as No 1 dominates in Dortmund SkySports
- Littler through as Van Gerwen suffers early Euros exit BBC Sport
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Luke Littler 48%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Luke Littler
- Krzysztof Ratajski
- Nathan Aspinall
- Michael van Gerwen