Kansas Man Arrested for Threats Against Trump Ahead of Rally
Jaden J. Read was charged with making threats against President Trump after posting on Facebook about shooting him.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 66% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 20 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 20 October at 02:52 UTC; The Guardian US followed 37h 43m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 21 October at 16:35 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- Veteran — resolved “No” on 20 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump says the word "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas. The rally must be the event originally scheduled for October 19, 2026. Readers often mistake any mention of veterans or other rallies as sufficient, but only that specific speech counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Veteran No 18d ago
The market favoured Yes at 57% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Jaden J. Read
- Donald Trump