Kane misses penalty as Silva earns Dortmund draw with Bayern
Fabio Silva scores a late equaliser to secure a 2-2 draw for Borussia Dortmund against Bayern Munich, who were held after Harry Kane missed a penalty.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SkySports, 36 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 4 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 5 Nov, 07:52 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 10:05 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 18:37 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 11:20 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 09:40 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 06:51 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Nov, 00:48 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 21:19 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 12:34 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 10:07 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Nov, 10:07 UTC | 49% |
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 31 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 31 October at 19:30 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 37 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 3 November at 22:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? — the market puts it at 53%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Harry Kane scores more goals than any other player in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, and No otherwise. Only goals from official Bundesliga matches count; goals in cup competitions or European tournaments do not. Readers often mistakenly include goals scored in other competitions when determining the top scorer.
- Harry Kane — the market puts it at 10%, with $122 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. Harry Kane must finish the 2026-27 Champions League season with more goals than any other player for the outcome to be Yes. The No outcome applies if he does not lead the tournament in scoring. Readers often mistake this for a general league title or domestic goal record, but only Champions League goals count.
- Bayern Munich — the market puts it at 48%, closing 12 Jun 2027. Bayern Munich wins if they are named the champion of the 2026-27 DFB Pokal tournament. The outcome is determined solely by the official winner of that specific cup competition.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsKane misses penalty as Silva snatches Dortmund draw in Der Klassiker—
- The Guardian SportEuropean football: Kane misses penalty as Dortmund share spoils in Der Klassiker—
- BBC SportKane misses penalty before late Dortmund goal earns draw against Bayern—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesBorussia Dortmund spoil Harry Kane's Ballon d'Or coronation, keep pace in Bundesliga title race—
- SkySportsCould former wonderkid Silva fulfil his potential at Dortmund?49%
- The Guardian SportLennart Karl steals in behind Atlético Madrid to inspire Bayern Munich win51%▲3 points since the previous source
- Current odds53%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Lennart Karl steals in behind Atlético Madrid to inspire Bayern Munich win The Guardian Sport ·
- European football: Kane misses penalty as Dortmund share spoils in Der Klassiker The Guardian Sport ·
- Could former wonderkid Silva fulfil his potential at Dortmund? SkySports
- Borussia Dortmund spoil Harry Kane's Ballon d'Or coronation, keep pace in Bundesliga title race CBS Sports Headlines
- Kane misses penalty before late Dortmund goal earns draw against Bayern BBC Sport
- Kane misses penalty as Silva snatches Dortmund draw in Der Klassiker SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? 53% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Harry Kane 10%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Bayern Munich 48%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Harry Kane
- Bayern Munich
- Borussia Dortmund
- Fabio Silva