Kagan Says Supreme Court Rulings Undermine Democracy And Polarize US Politics

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 21 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 21 October at 13:25 UTC; The Guardian US followed 32 min later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 25 October at 10:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Fox News Politics.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Not nine justices — the market puts it at 7%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court has an equal number of justices appointed by Republican and Democratic presidents on January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that balance is not achieved by that date. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the start of the new term rather than the specific deadline of January 20, 2029.
• Yes — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a sitting Supreme Court Justice is formally charged with a U.S. federal crime between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about emergency docket use as the triggering event, but only a formal criminal charge counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.