Judge Orders Trump to Testify in $10bn BBC Defamation Lawsuit
A federal judge has ordered President Donald Trump to sit for a deposition with BBC lawyers by December 11 or face sanctions including dismissal of the defamation case.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Axios, 28 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 24% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 25% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 29% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 24% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 29% |
| 23 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 23% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 24% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 39% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 55% |
| 22 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 38% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 41% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 55% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 0% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2027 respond.
The story so far
12 publishers have covered this in 14 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Axios published first, on 22 October at 15:29 UTC; The Guardian US followed 28 min later. The most recent article, from The Hill News, appeared on 23 October at 14:06 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Axios (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill News (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), BBC News, South China Morning Post, Deadline.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 14%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump sits for a deposition in his defamation lawsuit against the BBC, as confirmed by any Source Agency between now and December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if this event does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it extends to January 1, 2027, but confirmation must occur before that date.
- Before 2028 — the market puts it at 23%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump wins the trial-level ruling in his lawsuit against the British Broadcasting Corporation. It resolves to No if he does not achieve that superior outcome at this specific court level. Readers often mistake the deadline or confuse this case with other lawsuits involving Trump and media outlets.
- Before his term ends — the market puts it at 20%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump is held liable for civil damages in any court related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol Attack before Jan 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly think the linked story about a deposition order directly determines the outcome, but only a final liability judgment counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- AxiosTrump ordered to sit for deposition in $10 billion BBC lawsuit0%
- The Guardian USUS judge orders Trump to sit for deposition in $10bn lawsuit against BBC0%
- The HillJudge orders Trump to be deposed in his BBC defamation suit34%▲34 points since the previous source
- BBC NewsTrump ordered to answer questions under oath in BBC lawsuit55%▲21 points since the previous source
- South China Morning PostJudge gives Trump deadline to sit for deposition in BBC defamation suit55%
- CBS News PoliticsJudge says Trump must sit for deposition in BBC defamation lawsuit55%
- DeadlineTrump Ordered By Judge To Sit For Deposition In $10B Lawsuit Against The BBC46%▼9 points since the previous source
- VarietyJudge Orders Donald Trump to Testify Under Oath in $10 Billion BBC Defamation Case46%
- News FeedTrump ordered to face BBC questioning in $10bn defamation lawsuit46%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump ordered to sit for deposition in BBC defamation lawsuit55%▲9 points since the previous source
Show 4 later sources
- NPR PoliticsTrump must sit for a deposition in his BBC defamation lawsuit, judge rules29%▼26 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterJudge Orders Trump to Testify Under Oath in BBC Defamation Lawsuit29%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump ordered to testify in $10bn BBC lawsuit discovery: What happens now?30%▲1 points since the previous source
- The Hill NewsTy Cobb predicts Trump will likely skip deposition, dismiss BBC lawsuit23%▼7 points since the previous source
- Current odds14%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Ty Cobb predicts Trump will likely skip deposition, dismiss BBC lawsuit The Hill News ·
- Trump ordered to testify in $10bn BBC lawsuit discovery: What happens now? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Judge Orders Trump to Testify Under Oath in BBC Defamation Lawsuit The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Trump must sit for a deposition in his BBC defamation lawsuit, judge rules NPR Politics ·
- Trump ordered to sit for deposition in BBC defamation lawsuit Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump ordered to face BBC questioning in $10bn defamation lawsuit News Feed ·
Show 8 more sources
- Judge Orders Donald Trump to Testify Under Oath in $10 Billion BBC Defamation Case Variety ·
- Judge says Trump must sit for deposition in BBC defamation lawsuit CBS News Politics ·
- Judge orders Trump to be deposed in his BBC defamation suit The Hill ·
- US judge orders Trump to sit for deposition in $10bn lawsuit against BBC The Guardian US ·
- Trump ordered to sit for deposition in $10 billion BBC lawsuit Axios ·
- Trump Ordered By Judge To Sit For Deposition In $10B Lawsuit Against The BBC Deadline
- Judge gives Trump deadline to sit for deposition in BBC defamation suit South China Morning Post
- Trump ordered to answer questions under oath in BBC lawsuit BBC News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2027 14% −9
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- Kalshi Before 2028 23%
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- Kalshi Before his term ends 20%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- BBC
- Enjoliqué Aytch Lett