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Judge Dismisses Lawsuit Claiming Spotify Allowed Fake Streams of Drake’s Music

A judge permanently dismissed a class action lawsuit filed by RBX that alleged Spotify ignored bots boosting Drake's plays.

2 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 26 Oct 2026 · updated 11d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Above 27.0B
0%50%100%98%25 Oct, 21:31 UTCnowBillboard: Drake Lawsuit Over ‘Janice STFU’ Dropped By Accuser Less Than Two Weeks Later · 27 Oct, 18:41 UTCRolling Stone: Drake ‘Janice STFU’ Copyright Lawsuit Dismissed · 27 Oct, 18:00 UTCRolling Stone: Judge Dismisses Lawsuit Claiming Spotify Allowed Billions of Fake Streams of Drake’s Music · 26 Oct, 21:31 UTCBillboard: Spotify Streaming Fraud Lawsuit That Claimed Drake Gets Billions of Fake Plays Dismissed by Judge · 26 Oct, 18:52 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now98%
29 Oct, 15:30 UTC98%
25 Oct, 21:31 UTC94%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 26 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 26 October at 18:52 UTC; Rolling Stone followed 2h 39m later. The most recent article, from Billboard, appeared on 27 October at 18:41 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Billboard, Rolling Stone.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Above 27.0B — the market puts it at 98%, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Drake accumulates more than 27.0 billion worldwide streams between January 1 and December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if his total falls at or below that threshold during this period. Readers often mistake the dismissal of a lawsuit for an impact on stream counts, but only actual streaming data determines the outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 27.0B at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. BillboardSpotify Streaming Fraud Lawsuit That Claimed Drake Gets Billions of Fake Plays Dismissed by Judge94%
  2. Rolling StoneJudge Dismisses Lawsuit Claiming Spotify Allowed Billions of Fake Streams of Drake’s Music94%
  3. Rolling StoneDrake ‘Janice STFU’ Copyright Lawsuit Dismissed94%
  4. BillboardDrake Lawsuit Over ‘Janice STFU’ Dropped By Accuser Less Than Two Weeks Later94%
  5. Current odds98%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Drake Lawsuit Over ‘Janice STFU’ Dropped By Accuser Less Than Two Weeks Later Billboard
  2. Drake ‘Janice STFU’ Copyright Lawsuit Dismissed Rolling Stone
  3. Judge Dismisses Lawsuit Claiming Spotify Allowed Billions of Fake Streams of Drake’s Music Rolling Stone
  4. Spotify Streaming Fraud Lawsuit That Claimed Drake Gets Billions of Fake Plays Dismissed by Judge Billboard

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Above 27.0B 98% +4 $19 24hends 2 Jan 2027

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In this story

  • Spotify
  • Drake
  • RBX
  • Snoop Dogg
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