Jeremiah Smith Becomes Solo Heisman Favorite as Jadan Baugh Rises
Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith takes sole betting lead for the 2026 award after historic play, while Florida running back Jadan Baugh climbs odds.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 17:33 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 03:03 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 20:43 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 04:18 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 11:34 UTC | 9% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Jeremiah Smith respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 26 Sept 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 26 September at 21:05 UTC; SI Feed followed 18h 17m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 28 September at 13:08 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Jeremiah Smith — the market puts it at 25%, with $24k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Jeremiah Smith wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 college football season. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his Ohio State record as the deciding factor, but only the Heisman Trophy award matters.
- Jeremiah Smith — the market puts it at 80%, with $721 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Jeremiah Smith is named a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy. It resolves to No if he is not selected as a finalist. Readers often mistake being a favorite or rising in rankings for officially becoming a finalist.
- Jeremiah Smith — the market puts it at 23%, with $560 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Jeremiah Smith is chosen as the first overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. It resolves to No if he is not selected first. Readers often mistake his college performance, such as tying an Ohio State record, for determining the outcome, but only the draft selection matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Jeremiah Smith at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- feeds.bleacherreport.comLatest Heisman Trophy 2026 Odds as Jeremiah Smith Rises, Arch Manning Falls22%
- SI FeedHeisman Trophy Betting Odds Tracker 2026: Florida RB Jadan Baugh Rising Entering Week 524%▲2 points since the previous source
- CBS Sports Headlines2026 Heisman Trophy odds update post-Week 4: Ton of movement, led by new favorite Jeremiah Smith of Ohio State24%▼1 points since the previous source
- Current odds25%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- 2026 Heisman Trophy odds update post-Week 4: Ton of movement, led by new favorite Jeremiah Smith of Ohio State CBS Sports Headlines
- Heisman Trophy Betting Odds Tracker 2026: Florida RB Jadan Baugh Rising Entering Week 5 SI Feed
- Latest Heisman Trophy 2026 Odds as Jeremiah Smith Rises, Arch Manning Falls feeds.bleacherreport.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Jeremiah Smith 25%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jeremiah Smith 80% +10
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jeremiah Smith 23% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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In this story
- Jadan Baugh
- Jeremiah Smith
- Florida
- Ohio State