Jennings Questions Trump's $5,000 Midterm Dividend Proposal
Commentator Scott Jennings expressed doubt about the viability of President Trump's proposal to pay Americans $5,000 if Republicans win the midterms.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Sept, 21:49 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 20:28 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 14:19 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 06:16 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 05:16 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 03:31 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 02:02 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 23:15 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 28% |
| 25 Sept, 22:09 UTC | 29% |
| 25 Sept, 21:48 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 33% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 53% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 15:35 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Sept, 14:32 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 34% |
| 25 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Sept, 10:04 UTC | 28% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 28% |
| 25 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Sept, 02:20 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Sept, 23:14 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Sept, 22:45 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 52% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 24 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 24 September at 21:59 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Dividend / Stimulus — resolved “Yes” on 29 Sept 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly states a dividend or stimulus proposal after September 21, 2026 at 9:00 am ET and before September 28, 2026 at 12:00 am ET. The statement must use the exact terms "dividend" or "stimulus," including their plural or possessive forms. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it ends on September 27 instead of September 28.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Dividend / Stimulus Yes 39d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Scott Jennings
- Donald Trump
- Kaitlan Collins