NewsMarkets

Sports

James Madison to Leave Sun Belt for American Conference

The university's Board of Visitors voted to terminate its Sun Belt membership and apply to join the American Conference no later than July 1, 2028.

2 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 12 Oct 2026 · updated 23d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · James Madison
0%50%100%71%11 Oct, 14:56 UTCnowSI Feed: American Conference Shakes Things Up With Addition of New Member · 15 Oct, 13:00 UTCSI Feed: After Four Years, James Madison is Leaving the Sun Belt: How It Affects Southern Miss · 13 Oct, 17:32 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: James Madison leaving Sun Belt for American after conference accepts application · 12 Oct, 14:56 UTCSI Feed: College Football Realignment Shakeup as Program Applies for American Conference · 12 Oct, 14:45 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now71%
16 Oct, 12:49 UTC71%
16 Oct, 04:49 UTC74%
16 Oct, 04:22 UTC70%
14 Oct, 20:38 UTC74%
13 Oct, 23:25 UTC67%
13 Oct, 02:07 UTC72%
12 Oct, 17:56 UTC69%
11 Oct, 14:56 UTC10%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 12 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 12 October at 14:45 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 11 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 15 October at 13:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • James Madison — the market puts it at 71%, closing 10 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if James Madison qualifies for the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Championship Game. It resolves to No if they do not qualify. Readers often mistake the linked story headline as the resolution criteria, but only official qualification for the championship game counts.
  • James Madison — the market puts it at 55%, with $75 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if James Madison wins the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Championship Game. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific game. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the regular season instead of the championship game.
  • James Madison — the market puts it at 7%, closing 25 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if James Madison reaches the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It is No if they do not. Readers often mistake reaching the playoff for winning the championship.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on James Madison at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI FeedCollege Football Realignment Shakeup as Program Applies for American Conference10%
  2. CBS Sports HeadlinesJames Madison leaving Sun Belt for American after conference accepts application10%
  3. SI FeedAfter Four Years, James Madison is Leaving the Sun Belt: How It Affects Southern Miss72%▲62 points since the previous source
  4. SI FeedAmerican Conference Shakes Things Up With Addition of New Member74%▲2 points since the previous source
  5. Current odds71%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. American Conference Shakes Things Up With Addition of New Member SI Feed
  2. After Four Years, James Madison is Leaving the Sun Belt: How It Affects Southern Miss SI Feed
  3. James Madison leaving Sun Belt for American after conference accepts application CBS Sports Headlines
  4. College Football Realignment Shakeup as Program Applies for American Conference SI Feed

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi James Madison 71% $0 24hends 10 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi James Madison 55% $75 24hends 3 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi James Madison 7% $0 24hends 25 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • James Madison
  • Sun Belt
  • American Conference
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.