Italy's Opposition Struggles to Unite Against Giorgia Meloni Ahead of Elections
Leftwing parties remain divided on Russia and a joint candidate for prime minister.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 28 Sept, 05:14 UTC | 35% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Sept 2026. News Feed published first, on 29 September at 04:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Giorgia Meloni — the market puts it at 35%, closing 22 Dec 2028. The market resolves to 'Yes' if Giorgia Meloni becomes Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election and meets all constitutional requirements before December 22, 2028. The outcome is 'No' if she does not assume the role under these conditions within the specified timeframe.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi Giorgia Meloni 35%
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In this story
- Italy
- Giorgia Meloni