Helen Zille Runs for Johannesburg Mayor Amidst ANC Tensions
The former premier campaigns on public service delivery as South Africans vote in national elections.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 01:09 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Nov, 00:34 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Nov, 20:42 UTC | 49% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 15:49 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Nov, 10:07 UTC | 60% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The New York Times published first, on 4 November at 10:02 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Helen Zille — the market puts it at 56%, with $396 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Helen Zille wins the next Johannesburg mayoral election after the 2026 municipal elections. The outcome is No if she does not win that specific race. Readers often mistake the 2026 municipal election date for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on who wins the subsequent mayoral contest.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Helen Zille 56% +49
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In this story
- Helen Zille
- ANC