Heisman Trophy Race Heats Up After Week 4 Performances
Kamario Taylor and Jeremiah Smith emerge as top contenders following standout displays in college football's fourth week.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 17:33 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 03:03 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 20:43 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 04:18 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 11:34 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 29 September at 12:32 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Jeremiah Smith — the market puts it at 25%, with $16k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Jeremiah Smith wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 college football season. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his Ohio State record as the deciding factor, but only the Heisman Trophy award matters.
- Jeremiah Smith — the market puts it at 80%, closing 7 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Jeremiah Smith is named a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy. It resolves to No if he is not selected as a finalist. Readers often mistake being a favorite or rising in rankings for officially becoming a finalist.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Jeremiah Smith 25%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jeremiah Smith 80%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Kamario Taylor
- Jeremiah Smith
- Ohio State