Pentagon Launches Project Meridian to Study Future Warfare with Musk and Luckey
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced Project Meridian, a Pentagon study on future warfare co-led by Elon Musk, Palmer Luckey, and Newt Gingrich.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Axios, 7 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 14 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
11 publishers have covered this in 12 articles since 30 Sept 2026. Axios published first, on 30 September at 20:47 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 7 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 1 October at 17:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Axios (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), Fox News Politics, All Content from Business Insider, Engadget, Times of India, South China Morning Post.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for him. The No outcome applies if he does not win according to those sources or if another candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the news outlets call the race rather than the inauguration date.
- Elon Musk — the market puts it at 0%, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk wins the Republican presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Pentagon study for the actual nomination event.
- Elon Musk — the market puts it at 1%, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk formally accepts the Republican Party's vice presidential nomination in 2028. It resolves to No if he does not accept this specific nomination within that election cycle. Readers often mistake news about his involvement in other roles, such as leading a Pentagon study, for acceptance of the vice presidential bid.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- AxiosMusk returns to Trump world for Pentagon war study0%
- Fox News PoliticsElon Musk lands new Trump admin role shaping future of American warfare0%
- The HillHegseth puts Musk, Luckey, Gingrich in charge of military future warfare review0%
- The Guardian USPete Hegseth appoints Elon Musk to US taskforce on future of warfare0%
- All Content from Business InsiderPete Hegseth's got a new vision for the military. It leans on drone swarms, chaplains, and tech leaders like Elon Musk and Palmer Luckey.0%
- EngadgetElon Musk and Palmer Luckey will advise the government on the future of warfare0%
- TechCrunchThe Pentagon taps Elon Musk and Palmer Luckey to help decide what the military should do next0%
- Times of IndiaPentagon’s new war machine: Drone command, AI push and a plan for future battlefields0%
- South China Morning PostElon Musk returns to US government for Pentagon war study0%
- News FeedPete Hegseth announces creation of Autonomous Warfare Command0%
- Washington PostElon Musk to return his attention to government, advise Pentagon on future of war0%
- The Guardian USHegseth puts the future of warfare in the hands of major Maga donors0%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Hegseth puts the future of warfare in the hands of major Maga donors The Guardian US ·
- Elon Musk to return his attention to government, advise Pentagon on future of war Washington Post ·
- Pete Hegseth announces creation of Autonomous Warfare Command News Feed ·
- The Pentagon taps Elon Musk and Palmer Luckey to help decide what the military should do next TechCrunch ·
- Pete Hegseth appoints Elon Musk to US taskforce on future of warfare The Guardian US ·
- Hegseth puts Musk, Luckey, Gingrich in charge of military future warfare review The Hill ·
Show 6 more sources
- Musk returns to Trump world for Pentagon war study Axios ·
- Elon Musk returns to US government for Pentagon war study South China Morning Post
- Pentagon’s new war machine: Drone command, AI push and a plan for future battlefields Times of India
- Elon Musk and Palmer Luckey will advise the government on the future of warfare Engadget
- Pete Hegseth's got a new vision for the military. It leans on drone swarms, chaplains, and tech leaders like Elon Musk and Palmer Luckey. All Content from Business Insider
- Elon Musk lands new Trump admin role shaping future of American warfare Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Elon Musk 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Elon Musk 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?