Hamilton Calls Marshall Medical Debt Video 'Desperate'
The Kansas Democratic Senate candidate criticizes the Republican incumbent's video explanation regarding past lawsuits against former patients for unpaid medical bills.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 20:34 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 14:39 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 12:36 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 02:30 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 22% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 2 Nov 2026. The Hill News published first, on 2 November at 19:55 UTC. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 2 November at 20:06 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Adam Hamilton, 0-2% — the market puts it at 1%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Adam Hamilton wins the 2026 Kansas Senate election by a margin of victory between 0% and 2%. The outcome is No if he loses or wins by more than 2%. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on the date of the news story rather than the official election results.
- Hamilton, 9+ pts — the market puts it at 1%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by a margin of 9 percentage points or more. It resolves to No if the winner loses by less than that margin or if the Republican Party wins. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Hamilton for the actual event, but only the official election results determine the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Adam Hamilton, 0-2% 1% −22
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- Kalshi Hamilton, 9+ pts 1% −11
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In this story
- Adam Hamilton
- Roger Marshall
- Kansas