NewsMarkets

Politics

Hamilton Calls Marshall Medical Debt Video 'Desperate'

The Kansas Democratic Senate candidate criticizes the Republican incumbent's video explanation regarding past lawsuits against former patients for unpaid medical bills.

1 publisher · 2 articles · first seen 2 Nov 2026 · updated 5d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Adam Hamilton, 0-2%
0%50%100%1%1 Nov, 19:06 UTCnowThe Hill: Marshall cuts rogue ad on medical debt lawsuits · 2 Nov, 20:06 UTCThe Hill News: Hamilton calls Marshall medical debt video ‘desperate’ · 2 Nov, 19:55 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
4 Nov, 06:50 UTC2%
4 Nov, 06:07 UTC1%
4 Nov, 04:33 UTC2%
4 Nov, 02:49 UTC1%
4 Nov, 02:19 UTC9%
4 Nov, 01:49 UTC8%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC23%
4 Nov, 00:22 UTC23%
3 Nov, 22:49 UTC22%
3 Nov, 22:19 UTC30%
3 Nov, 21:57 UTC30%
3 Nov, 21:11 UTC26%
3 Nov, 20:34 UTC22%
3 Nov, 19:21 UTC23%
3 Nov, 18:59 UTC26%
3 Nov, 18:29 UTC25%
3 Nov, 16:26 UTC23%
3 Nov, 15:57 UTC31%
3 Nov, 15:29 UTC24%
3 Nov, 14:39 UTC23%
3 Nov, 14:25 UTC26%
3 Nov, 12:36 UTC22%
3 Nov, 07:05 UTC20%
3 Nov, 05:32 UTC24%
3 Nov, 03:47 UTC23%
3 Nov, 03:05 UTC25%
3 Nov, 02:30 UTC24%
3 Nov, 02:01 UTC23%
3 Nov, 00:26 UTC20%
2 Nov, 23:01 UTC23%
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC20%
2 Nov, 19:33 UTC24%
1 Nov, 19:06 UTC22%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 2 Nov 2026. The Hill News published first, on 2 November at 19:55 UTC. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 2 November at 20:06 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Adam Hamilton, 0-2% — the market puts it at 1%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Adam Hamilton wins the 2026 Kansas Senate election by a margin of victory between 0% and 2%. The outcome is No if he loses or wins by more than 2%. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on the date of the news story rather than the official election results.
  • Hamilton, 9+ pts — the market puts it at 1%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by a margin of 9 percentage points or more. It resolves to No if the winner loses by less than that margin or if the Republican Party wins. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Hamilton for the actual event, but only the official election results determine the outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Marshall cuts rogue ad on medical debt lawsuits The Hill ·
  2. Hamilton calls Marshall medical debt video ‘desperate’ The Hill News ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Adam Hamilton, 0-2% 1% −22 $3k 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Hamilton, 9+ pts 1% −11 $7k 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Adam Hamilton
  • Roger Marshall
  • Kansas
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.