Guimaraes Rescues Arsenal as Leeds Push Reigning Champions to Limits
Bruno Guimaraes delivers a crucial performance to prevent successive slip-ups for the reigning champions against a spirited Leeds United side.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 05:43 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 04:06 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 28 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 56% |
| 28 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 05:36 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 03:19 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 20:00 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 47% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 10 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 10 October at 13:38 UTC; BBC Sport followed 2h 05m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 10 October at 15:44 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 61%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 14%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of any other competition or season.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 32%, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about Chelsea ending Arsenal's unbeaten run as the resolution criteria, but only the final winner of the 2026-2027 FA Cup matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Arsenal 61% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 32% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Bruno Guimaraes
- Leeds