Google launches Gemini 4 Argon AI model for developers and paying subscribers
The new flagship model, priced at $2 per million input tokens, is now available in the Gemini app and API with discounted rates through November.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 13% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? respond.
The story so far
10 publishers have covered this in 15 articles since 12 Oct 2026. Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews published first, on 12 October at 22:30 UTC; The Verge followed 17h 30m later. The most recent article, from marktechpost.com, appeared on 14 October at 05:03 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), Engadget, All Content from Business Insider, CNET, Google DeepMind, Hacker News, Quartz, Times of India, marktechpost.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? — resolved “No” on 14 Oct 2026.
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — resolved “Yes” on 14 Oct 2026.
- Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — resolved “Yes” on 14 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if any Google Gemini model reaches at least 50% accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Accuracy counts only the specific HLE Accuracy metric shown on the official leaderboard at agi.safe.ai. Readers often mistake other performance metrics or unofficial reports for the valid score.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsHow to use Google Gemini to automate tasks—
- The VergeGoogle finally releases Gemini 4 Argon13%
- EngadgetGoogle's Gemini 4 Argon is now available in the Gemini app and AI Mode in Search13%
- All Content from Business InsiderGoogle says Gemini 4 Argon is a 'powerhouse' AI model — and it's rolling out now13%
- Ars TechnicaGemini 4 Argon begins rolling out in Gemini app and Antigravity, but only if you pay13%
- CNETYou Can Use Gemini 4 Argon Now: Google’s New AI Is Built for Coding, Math and Robotics13%
- Google DeepMindGemini 4 Argon: Built to solve your hardest problems13%
- Google DeepMindGemini 4 Argon for Robotics13%
- Hacker NewsGemini 4 Argon13%
- Hacker NewsGemini 4 Argon for Robotics Blog13%
Show 5 later sources
- QuartzGoogle veröffentlicht Gemini 4 Argon für Entwickler und zahlende Abonnenten.13%
- QuartzGoogle is releasing Gemini 4 Argon to developers and paying subscribers13%
- Google DeepMindDeveloping Gemini 4 Argon responsibly and safely13%
- Times of IndiaElon Musk congratulates CEOs & execs after Google CEO announces Gemini 4 Argon13%
- marktechpost.comGoogle Releases Gemini 4 Argon API With 1M Token Output Limit13%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Gemini 4 Argon begins rolling out in Gemini app and Antigravity, but only if you pay Ars Technica ·
- Google finally releases Gemini 4 Argon The Verge ·
- Google Releases Gemini 4 Argon API With 1M Token Output Limit marktechpost.com
- Elon Musk congratulates CEOs & execs after Google CEO announces Gemini 4 Argon Times of India
- Google veröffentlicht Gemini 4 Argon für Entwickler und zahlende Abonnenten. Quartz
- Google is releasing Gemini 4 Argon to developers and paying subscribers Quartz
Show 9 more sources
- You Can Use Gemini 4 Argon Now: Google’s New AI Is Built for Coding, Math and Robotics CNET
- Google says Gemini 4 Argon is a 'powerhouse' AI model — and it's rolling out now All Content from Business Insider
- Google's Gemini 4 Argon is now available in the Gemini app and AI Mode in Search Engadget
- How to use Google Gemini to automate tasks Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
- Developing Gemini 4 Argon responsibly and safely Google DeepMind
- Gemini 4 Argon for Robotics Blog Hacker News
- Gemini 4 Argon Hacker News
- Gemini 4 Argon for Robotics Google DeepMind
- Gemini 4 Argon: Built to solve your hardest problems Google DeepMind
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? No 24d ago
The market favoured No at 87% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Before Jan 1, 2027 Yes 24d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? Yes 24d ago
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?