Brisbane Lions defeat Fremantle to seal historic AFL three-peat
The Brisbane Lions secured a third consecutive premiership by defeating the Fremantle Dockers 96-89 in a dramatic finish at the MCG.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 2 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 09:49 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 09:48 UTC | 43% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions respond.
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 5 articles since 24 Sept 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 24 September at 15:00 UTC. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 27 September at 15:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions — resolved “Brisbane Lions” on 26 Sept 2026. The market resolves to Fremantle Dockers if they are officially credited with the win and to Brisbane Lions if they are officially credited with the win. The official final result counts, including extra time if applicable. Readers often mistake the headline's claim of a defeat for the official resolution without checking the AFL's published results.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian SportAFL 2026 grand final: where the Fremantle v Brisbane decider will be won and lost—
- The Guardian SportFremantle has already turned purple. A grand final win would send the port city into meltdown | Brendan Foster—
- The Guardian SportFremantle Dockers v Brisbane Lions: AFL grand final 2026 – live43%
- The Guardian SportBrisbane roar back to seal three-peat and break Fremantle hearts in AFL grand final classic43%
- The Guardian SportBrisbane’s AFL dynasty is built on sheer talent, a loyal coach and their love of a dire situation | Jonathan Horn0%▼43 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: Brisbane Lions
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Brisbane’s AFL dynasty is built on sheer talent, a loyal coach and their love of a dire situation | Jonathan Horn The Guardian Sport ·
- Brisbane roar back to seal three-peat and break Fremantle hearts in AFL grand final classic The Guardian Sport ·
- Fremantle Dockers v Brisbane Lions: AFL grand final 2026 – live The Guardian Sport ·
- Fremantle has already turned purple. A grand final win would send the port city into meltdown | Brendan Foster The Guardian Sport ·
- AFL 2026 grand final: where the Fremantle v Brisbane decider will be won and lost The Guardian Sport ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions Brisbane Lions 42d ago
The market favoured Brisbane Lions at 57% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Brisbane Lions
- Fremantle Dockers
- MCG
- Logan Morris