Florida Rises in CFP Odds After SEC Dominance and Ole Miss Win
The Florida Gators surge in College Football Playoff projections following their victory over Ole Miss, while Oregon and Mississippi State also climb the rankings.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 5 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 56% |
| 2 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 56% |
| 2 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 56% |
| 2 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Sept, 15:13 UTC | 59% |
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 27 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 27 September at 19:04 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 21h 37m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 1 October at 20:03 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Florida — the market puts it at 56%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Florida qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if Florida does not qualify. Readers often mistake the headline's mention of rising odds as a guarantee of qualification, but only actual playoff selection counts.
- Florida — the market puts it at 7%, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. Florida must be named the number one seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff for the market to resolve to Yes. Any other outcome results in a No resolution. Readers often mistake early playoff projections or bubble team discussions for an official selection.
- Florida — the market puts it at 5%, with $837 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Florida reaches the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake reaching the playoff for winning the championship.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Florida at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedPat Forde: College Football Playoff Projected Bracket After Week 4—
- SI FeedGators Get First CFP Projections After Win Over Ole Miss—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesCollege football national championship odds: Florida surges as CFP contender; Oregon, Mississippi State leap—
- www.espn.comBreaking down CFP and Heisman odds: Where do Baugh and Florida stack up?—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesCollege Football Playoff dark horses: Florida, Iowa among preseason long shot threats to crash the party—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesCollege Football Playoff resume rankings: Florida checks in at No. 2 as SEC claims top five spots59%
- SI FeedCFP Expansion Getting Closer, Players Taking Things Too Far, Week 5 Preview | Others Receiving Votes57%▼2 points since the previous source
- Current odds56%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Breaking down CFP and Heisman odds: Where do Baugh and Florida stack up? www.espn.com ·
- CFP Expansion Getting Closer, Players Taking Things Too Far, Week 5 Preview | Others Receiving Votes SI Feed
- College Football Playoff resume rankings: Florida checks in at No. 2 as SEC claims top five spots CBS Sports Headlines
- College Football Playoff dark horses: Florida, Iowa among preseason long shot threats to crash the party CBS Sports Headlines
- College football national championship odds: Florida surges as CFP contender; Oregon, Mississippi State leap CBS Sports Headlines
- Gators Get First CFP Projections After Win Over Ole Miss SI Feed
- Pat Forde: College Football Playoff Projected Bracket After Week 4 SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Florida 56%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Florida 7% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Florida 5% −11
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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