England Drop Kildunne for Canada Rematch After First Loss in Four Years
Head coach John Mitchell makes four changes to the starting XV, including benching star full-back Ellie Kildunne, for Friday's Test in Ottawa.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Guardian Sport, 2 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 16% |
| 15 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 58% |
| 14 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 57% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch England respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 21 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 21 October at 12:45 UTC; BBC Sport followed 3 min later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 21 October at 13:17 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.
One prediction market prices this story:
- England — the market puts it at 17%, closing 28 Jun 2027. England must finish as one of the qualified teams in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on their final standing in that specific tournament, not on any other competitions like the World Cup qualifiers. Readers often mistakenly believe results from the linked playoff match determine the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on England at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi England 17%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Ellie Kildunne
- England
- Canada
- John Mitchell
- Emma Sing