Education Secretary Linda McMahon Plans $43,000 Office Furniture Purchase
The Trump administration defends the expenditure despite claims that shuffling the department saves millions annually.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Oct 2026. The Guardian published first, on 28 October at 20:15 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Linda McMahon — resolved “No” on 6 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Linda McMahon becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce her departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if she remains in office longer than any other cabinet member or if no one leaves before that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about furniture purchases as a trigger for resolution, but only actual resignation, firing, or impeachment counts.
- Before Jan 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 6%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the Department of Education is completely eliminated or sunsetted before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake partial funding cuts or executive orders for total elimination.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Linda McMahon No 13h ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before Jan 20, 2029 6%
Does the market have this right?
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In this story
- Linda McMahon
- New York Times
- Congress