Dutch PM Discusses ASML China Sales Restrictions With Trump
Rob Jetten says he expects a workable agreement with Donald Trump on the MATCH Act to further restrict ASML's sales in China.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 09:14 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 24 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 24 September at 17:33 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- China — the market puts it at 13%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade deal with China becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of talks for the actual passage of legislation.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi China 13% +6
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In this story
- Rob Jetten
- Donald Trump
- ASML Holding NV