DOJ Indicts 10 in Minnesota Voter Fraud Case and Files Ethics Complaint Against Judges
The Justice Department indicts ten individuals for alleged noncitizen voting while filing an ethics complaint against federal judges who criticized the immigration crackdown.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by CBS News Politics, 1h 10m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Sept, 20:51 UTC | 37% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Minnesota respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 30 Sept 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 30 September at 16:51 UTC; The Hill followed 1h 10m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 2 October at 14:54 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Minnesota — the market puts it at 45%, with $375 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and is present within Minnesota's geographic boundaries after the question issuance and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about voter fraud indictments as the resolution criteria, but only Trump's physical presence matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Minnesota at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS News PoliticsDOJ files judicial misconduct complaint against federal judges in Minnesota37%
- The HillDOJ seeks to censure judges who spokes to NYT about Minnesota immigration raids37%
- Fox News PoliticsBlanche announces charges against 10 permanent residents accused of Minnesota voter fraud37%
- Washington PostDOJ files complaint against Minn. judges for criticizing immigration surge37%
- AxiosTrump's DOJ takes its fight with federal judges to Minnesota37%
- The Guardian USTrump DoJ indicts 10 individuals on noncitizen voting related charges in Minnesota37%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump administration files complaint against judges over media comments37%
- Bloomberg.comDOJ Deepens Clash With Judiciary That Has Blocked Trump Agenda65%▲28 points since the previous source
- Fox News PoliticsDOJ moves to boot federal judges from immigration cases over NYT interview48%▼17 points since the previous source
- Current odds45%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- DOJ Deepens Clash With Judiciary That Has Blocked Trump Agenda Bloomberg.com ·
- Trump administration files complaint against judges over media comments Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump DoJ indicts 10 individuals on noncitizen voting related charges in Minnesota The Guardian US ·
- Trump's DOJ takes its fight with federal judges to Minnesota Axios ·
- DOJ files complaint against Minn. judges for criticizing immigration surge Washington Post ·
- DOJ seeks to censure judges who spokes to NYT about Minnesota immigration raids The Hill ·
Show 3 more sources
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Minnesota 45% −12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Donald Trump
- Todd Blanche
- Markwayne Mullin
- Patrick Schiltz
- John Tunheim
- Minnesota