Djokovic eliminated from ATP Finals race after Paris Masters loss to Hijikata
Novak Djokovic is out of contention for the ATP Finals following a second-round defeat by qualifier Rinky Hijikata at the Paris Masters.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 12:00 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 09:44 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 08:55 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 08:20 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 00:34 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 00:27 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 08:58 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 07:52 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 19% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 3 Nov 2026. SkySports published first, on 3 November at 17:17 UTC; Latest articles followed 9h 59m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 5 November at 14:06 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, Latest articles, BBC Sport, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? — the market puts it at 1%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Novak Djokovic is named to one of the eight singles main-draw spots for the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals according to official ATP information. The market resolves to No if he does not qualify, if the tournament is canceled or postponed beyond December 6, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if the field remains undetermined by that deadline.
- Novak Djokovic — the market puts it at 2%, closing 15 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Novak Djokovic wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles title. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this question for any other tennis event or assume the linked Paris Masters story affects the outcome.
- Before the 2027 season — the market puts it at 2%, closing 1 Feb 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Novak Djokovic announces his retirement from the ATP before the 2027 season starts. It resolves to No if he does not make such an announcement by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked China Open result for the resolution criteria, but only a formal retirement announcement counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsDjokovic maintains ATP Finals chances with opening win at Paris Masters—
- Latest articlesDjokovic battles through Paris Masters opener19%
- SkySportsDjokovic out of ATP Finals race after shock Paris exit along with No 1 Zverev19%
- BBC SportDefeat ends Djokovic's hopes of making ATP Finals19%
- The Guardian Sport‘Playing out of his mind’: Novak Djokovic hails Rinky Hijikata after Australian’s stunning win in Paris19%
- SI FeedNovak Djokovic's Paris Masters Loss Eliminates Him from ATP Finals Contention1%▼18 points since the previous source
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- ‘Playing out of his mind’: Novak Djokovic hails Rinky Hijikata after Australian’s stunning win in Paris The Guardian Sport ·
- Novak Djokovic's Paris Masters Loss Eliminates Him from ATP Finals Contention SI Feed
- Defeat ends Djokovic's hopes of making ATP Finals BBC Sport
- Djokovic out of ATP Finals race after shock Paris exit along with No 1 Zverev SkySports
- Djokovic battles through Paris Masters opener Latest articles
- Djokovic maintains ATP Finals chances with opening win at Paris Masters SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Novak Djokovic 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before the 2027 season 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Novak Djokovic
- Rinky Hijikata
- ATP Finals
- Paris Masters