Democrat Beau Bayh Wins Indiana Secretary of State Race

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 16:14 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Republican — the market puts it at 87%, closing 7 Nov 2029. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as Indiana's governor after the 2028 election. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins that specific office and term. Readers often mistake this for a general election outcome or confuse it with other statewide races, but only the gubernatorial inauguration matters.
• Republican party — the market puts it at 82%, closing 7 Nov 2029. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as an Indiana Senator for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake this outcome for being determined by current elections or other offices, but only the specific 2029 Senate seat matters.
• Indiana — the market puts it at 8%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Indiana wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake any regular-season or playoff victory for a win, but only the final championship game counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.