DeepSeek Unveils Open-Source Coding Agent and Creator Mode
The Chinese lab released a prototype autonomous coding agent and a creator mode for custom plugins to compete with rivals like Anthropic and OpenAI.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 10:02 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 0% |
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| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 1% |
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| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 0% |
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| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 1% |
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| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 15:40 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 15:11 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 1% |
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| 21 Sept, 19:55 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 1% |
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| 21 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 1% |
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| 20 Sept, 00:48 UTC | 1% |
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| 19 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 1% |
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| 19 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 1% |
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| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 16:12 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 14:38 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Sept, 18:10 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 1% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 1 Nov 2026. marktechpost.com published first, on 1 November at 07:47 UTC; theinformation.com followed 22h 08m later. The most recent article, from News - South China Morning Post, appeared on 4 November at 12:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), marktechpost.com, theinformation.com, Quartz, News - South China Morning Post.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, with $272 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves by checking the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The 'Yes' outcome occurs if DeepSeek owns the model with the highest rank; otherwise, the outcome is 'No'. Readers often mistake the release of Huawei chip tools for a change in model ranking, but only the leaderboard data determines the result.
- Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? — the market puts it at 14%, with $89 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. For the outcome to be Yes, DeepSeek must release a new Pro model that is publicly accessible and newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813 by November 30, 2026 (ET). The model must have a distinct identifier or date designation and be clearly announced as available to the general public.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- marktechpost.comDeepSeek Open-Sources dsh-superagent, a Router-Worker Coding Agent0%
- theinformation.comDeepSeek Unveils Autonomous Coding Agent Prototype0%
- Bloomberg TechnologyDeepSeek Boosts AI Agent Offering With New Creator Mode0%
- QuartzDeepSeek is adding a creator mode to let users build custom AI plugins0%
- News - South China Morning PostDeepSeek engineer defends push for open-source AI smarter than humans despite higher risks0%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- DeepSeek Boosts AI Agent Offering With New Creator Mode Bloomberg Technology ·
- DeepSeek engineer defends push for open-source AI smarter than humans despite higher risks News - South China Morning Post
- DeepSeek is adding a creator mode to let users build custom AI plugins Quartz
- DeepSeek Unveils Autonomous Coding Agent Prototype theinformation.com
- DeepSeek Open-Sources dsh-superagent, a Router-Worker Coding Agent marktechpost.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
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In this story
- DeepSeek
- Anthropic
- OpenAI