Cook Political Report Upgrades Alaska and New Hampshire Races to Toss-Ups
The Cook Political Report shifts its ratings for the Alaska gubernatorial race and the New Hampshire Senate contest to toss-ups following new polling data.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Hill, 47 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 2 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 22:48 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 21:11 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 18:16 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 14:35 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 14:07 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 11:05 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 78% |
| 18 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 71% |
| 18 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 68% |
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 15 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 15 September at 19:52 UTC; Washington Post followed 48 min later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 17 September at 23:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? — the market puts it at 79%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillCook Political Report shifts New Hampshire toward Republican Sununu—
- Washington PostThis blue state is the midterms’ surprising new Senate battleground—
- Fox News PoliticsPolitical insider turns anti-incumbent table on 8-year Dem in key Senate race: 'Hasn't delivered'68%
- The HillAlaska governor's race shifts to toss up: Cook Political Report68%
- Current odds79%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Alaska governor's race shifts to toss up: Cook Political Report The Hill ·
- This blue state is the midterms’ surprising new Senate battleground Washington Post ·
- Cook Political Report shifts New Hampshire toward Republican Sununu The Hill ·
- Political insider turns anti-incumbent table on 8-year Dem in key Senate race: 'Hasn't delivered' Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? 79% +4
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In this story
- Cook Political Report
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
- Bernadette Wilson
- Chris Pappas
- John Sununu