Colts Defeat Texans 19-17 in Week 3 NFL Upset
The Indianapolis Colts secure a narrow 19-17 victory over the Houston Texans, handing the Texans their third consecutive loss to start the season.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 10 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 22% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Indianapolis / 4: Tennessee respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 22 articles since 24 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 24 September at 14:00 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 70h 41m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 30 September at 13:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Indianapolis / 4: Tennessee — the market puts it at 8%, closing 1 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Houston finishes first, Jacksonville second, Indianapolis third, and Tennessee fourth in the AFC South standings at the end of the 2026-27 regular season. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked game result for the final standing determination.
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? — the market puts it at 1%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Apr 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Colts are eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the linked Week 2 game for the resolution event, but only the final championship result matters.
- Houston — resolved “No” on 4 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Houston Texans win their game against the Dallas Cowboys on October 4, 2026. It resolves to No if they lose or do not play that specific matchup. Readers often mistake this for a general prediction about the team's season performance rather than a single scheduled game.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Indianapolis / 4: Tennessee at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedTexans Face 3 Key Matchups vs. Colts That Will Decide Their Week 3 Fate—
- SI FeedTexans Have Clear Edge Over Colts in Week 3 Based on Recent History—
- SI Feed4 Bold Texans Predictions for How Week 3 vs. Colts Will Go—
- SI FeedColts Week 3: Two Major Keys to Beating the Texans—
- SI FeedTexans' 3 Most Important Questions vs. Colts With 0-3 on the Line—
- SI Feed3 Storylines I'm Watching Closest When Colts Take on the Texans: Defense Looms Largest—
- SI FeedTexans Have One X-Factor to Lean on vs. Colts in Key Week 3 Matchup—
- SI FeedColts vs. Texans: 5 Best Bets for Week 3—
- SI FeedColts Need All Three Phases Working Together Against Texans—
- SI FeedBreaking Down Texans' Best & Worst-Case Scenarios vs. Colts—
Show 12 later sources
- SI FeedTexans vs. Colts Week 3 Preview: How to Watch, Betting, Injury Report22%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexans vs. Colts prediction markets: NFL picks, predictions available with Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS22%
- SI FeedTexans' 3 Keys to Victory vs. Colts in High-Stakes Week 3 Matchup22%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexans vs. Colts predictions, NFL picks, start time: Use Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS for $50 bonus22%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexans vs. Colts predictions, NFL picks, start time: Get a $50 bonus with Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS22%
- SI Feed3 Texans Takeaways From 17-19 Loss vs. Colts: Offense Keeps Spiraling22%
- SI Feed2 Winners, 3 Losers From Texans' Deflating Week 3 Loss vs. Colts22%
- SI FeedTop 3 Takeaways From the Colts Gritty Win Over the Texans22%
- SI Feed3 Winners, 2 Losers From Colts Week 3 Win Against Texans21%▼1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedColts Stock Report After Ugly Win vs. Texans: 3 Risers, 2 Fallers21%
- SI FeedTexans Week 3 Snap Counts: What Stands Out in 17-19 Loss vs. Colts21%
- SI FeedDallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans: 3 Keys To Victory In Week 421%
- Current odds8%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans: 3 Keys To Victory In Week 4 SI Feed
- Texans Week 3 Snap Counts: What Stands Out in 17-19 Loss vs. Colts SI Feed
- Colts Stock Report After Ugly Win vs. Texans: 3 Risers, 2 Fallers SI Feed
- 3 Winners, 2 Losers From Colts Week 3 Win Against Texans SI Feed
- Top 3 Takeaways From the Colts Gritty Win Over the Texans SI Feed
- 2 Winners, 3 Losers From Texans' Deflating Week 3 Loss vs. Colts SI Feed
Show 16 more sources
- 3 Texans Takeaways From 17-19 Loss vs. Colts: Offense Keeps Spiraling SI Feed
- Texans vs. Colts predictions, NFL picks, start time: Get a $50 bonus with Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS CBS Sports Headlines
- Texans vs. Colts predictions, NFL picks, start time: Use Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS for $50 bonus CBS Sports Headlines
- Texans' 3 Keys to Victory vs. Colts in High-Stakes Week 3 Matchup SI Feed
- Texans vs. Colts prediction markets: NFL picks, predictions available with Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS CBS Sports Headlines
- Texans vs. Colts Week 3 Preview: How to Watch, Betting, Injury Report SI Feed
- Breaking Down Texans' Best & Worst-Case Scenarios vs. Colts SI Feed
- Colts Need All Three Phases Working Together Against Texans SI Feed
- Colts vs. Texans: 5 Best Bets for Week 3 SI Feed
- Texans Have One X-Factor to Lean on vs. Colts in Key Week 3 Matchup SI Feed
- 3 Storylines I'm Watching Closest When Colts Take on the Texans: Defense Looms Largest SI Feed
- Texans' 3 Most Important Questions vs. Colts With 0-3 on the Line SI Feed
- Colts Week 3: Two Major Keys to Beating the Texans SI Feed
- 4 Bold Texans Predictions for How Week 3 vs. Colts Will Go SI Feed
- Texans Have Clear Edge Over Colts in Week 3 Based on Recent History SI Feed
- Texans Face 3 Key Matchups vs. Colts That Will Decide Their Week 3 Fate SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Indianapolis / 4: Tennessee 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Houston No 33d ago
The market favoured Yes at 59% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Houston Texans
- Indianapolis Colts