Clarence Thomas Faces Declining Trust in Supreme Court Legacy
Public trust in the judiciary is declining, complicating Justice Clarence Thomas's historical legacy.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 47% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Sept 2026. Just In News published first, on 28 September at 13:30 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Clarence Thomas — the market puts it at 48%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Clarence Thomas resigns or announces his intent to resign from the Supreme Court before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not take either action by that date. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the actual resignation date.
- Before Jul 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 14%, closing 1 Jul 2027. The outcome is Yes if Clarence Thomas retires from his position as a Supreme Court justice before July 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not retire by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year rather than the specific July 1 cutoff.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Clarence Thomas 48%
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- Kalshi Before Jul 1, 2027 14%
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In this story
- Clarence Thomas
- Supreme Court