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Cincinnati Upsets No. 8 Texas Tech 37-24, Throttling College Football Playoff Picture

JC French IV threw four touchdown passes and Cole Tabb added 173 rushing yards as Cincinnati stunned the Red Raiders, complicating the Big 12 playoff race.

3 publishers · 6 articles · first seen 24 Oct 2026 · updated 13d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by SI Feed, 10 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Texas Tech
0%50%100%34%23 Oct, 20:12 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Cincinnati upsets No. 8 Texas Tech behind French's 4 TD passes · 24 Oct, 20:45 UTCSI Feed: 2 Winners and 1 Loser From Bearcats Upset Win Over No. 8 Texas Tech · 25 Oct, 14:42 UTCSI Feed: Pat Forde: One Boast Made Texas Tech’s Loss to Cincinnati Even More Embarrassing · 25 Oct, 00:00 UTCSI Feed: How Texas Tech’s Stunning Loss to Cincinnati Impacts Oklahoma State · 24 Oct, 20:45 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Cincinnati's upset win over Texas Tech throttles College Football Playoff picture in Big 12 · 24 Oct, 19:58 UTCSI Feed: Instant Takeaways From Cincinnati Bearcats 37-24 Upset of No. 8 Texas Tech · 24 Oct, 19:47 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now34%
27 Oct, 04:13 UTC34%
26 Oct, 15:47 UTC42%
26 Oct, 04:22 UTC38%
26 Oct, 03:57 UTC45%
25 Oct, 22:06 UTC50%
25 Oct, 17:49 UTC45%
25 Oct, 14:41 UTC42%
25 Oct, 12:49 UTC51%
25 Oct, 11:28 UTC52%
25 Oct, 10:49 UTC54%
25 Oct, 05:24 UTC50%
25 Oct, 04:36 UTC58%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC31%
23 Oct, 20:12 UTC54%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 24 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 24 October at 19:47 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 11 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 25 October at 14:42 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Texas Tech — the market puts it at 34%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 10 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Texas Tech qualifies for the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game. It resolves to No if they do not qualify. Readers often mistake the linked story about Cincinnati as the deciding factor, but only Texas Tech's qualification matters.
  • Texas Tech — the market puts it at 20%, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Texas Tech earns a top four seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Deion Sanders for the resolution criteria, but only the final playoff seeding matters.
  • Texas Tech — the market puts it at 13%, with $387 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Jan 2027. Texas Tech must win the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game for the outcome to be Yes. If Texas Tech loses or does not play in that specific game, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake any regular-season victory over Texas Tech as sufficient, but only winning the championship title counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Texas Tech at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI FeedInstant Takeaways From Cincinnati Bearcats 37-24 Upset of No. 8 Texas Tech54%
  2. CBS Sports HeadlinesCincinnati's upset win over Texas Tech throttles College Football Playoff picture in Big 1254%
  3. SI FeedHow Texas Tech’s Stunning Loss to Cincinnati Impacts Oklahoma State31%▼23 points since the previous source
  4. www.espn.comCincinnati upsets No. 8 Texas Tech behind French's 4 TD passes31%
  5. SI FeedPat Forde: One Boast Made Texas Tech’s Loss to Cincinnati Even More Embarrassing31%
  6. SI Feed2 Winners and 1 Loser From Bearcats Upset Win Over No. 8 Texas Tech42%▲11 points since the previous source
  7. Current odds34%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Cincinnati upsets No. 8 Texas Tech behind French's 4 TD passes www.espn.com ·
  2. 2 Winners and 1 Loser From Bearcats Upset Win Over No. 8 Texas Tech SI Feed
  3. Pat Forde: One Boast Made Texas Tech’s Loss to Cincinnati Even More Embarrassing SI Feed
  4. How Texas Tech’s Stunning Loss to Cincinnati Impacts Oklahoma State SI Feed
  5. Cincinnati's upset win over Texas Tech throttles College Football Playoff picture in Big 12 CBS Sports Headlines
  6. Instant Takeaways From Cincinnati Bearcats 37-24 Upset of No. 8 Texas Tech SI Feed

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Texas Tech 34% −4 $10 24hends 10 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Texas Tech 20% $0 24hends 7 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Texas Tech 13% +1 $387 24hends 2 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

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In this story

  • Cincinnati
  • Texas Tech
  • Cole Tabb
  • JC French IV
  • Cody Campbell
  • Oklahoma State
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