Indiana Beats Minnesota in Overtime Behind Grant Wilson's Debut Touchdown
Backup quarterback Grant Wilson threw the winning touchdown as Indiana defeated Minnesota 23-16 after benching starter Josh Hoover.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 16:35 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 8% |
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| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 00:00 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 18:44 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 10:16 UTC | 9% |
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| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 10% |
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| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 8% |
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| 2 Nov, 09:04 UTC | 9% |
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| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 8% |
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| 31 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 9% |
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| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 7% |
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| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 8% |
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| 17 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 7% |
| 17 Oct, 20:39 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 7% |
| 17 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 10% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 9% |
| 17 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 8% |
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| 16 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 8% |
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| 14 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 9% |
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| 13 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 9% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 9% |
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| 12 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 8% |
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| 11 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 7% |
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| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 8% |
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| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 6% |
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| 10 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 8% |
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| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 8% |
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| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
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| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 11% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Indiana respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 30 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 30 October at 17:24 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 28h 26m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 2 November at 18:53 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Indiana — the market puts it at 9%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Indiana wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake any regular-season or playoff victory for a win, but only the final championship game counts.
- Indiana — the market puts it at 40%, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Indiana receives a top-four seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about their performance in the linked game against Ohio State.
- Indiana — the market puts it at 86%, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Indiana finishes in the top four of the Big Ten standings for the 2026 college football regular season. It resolves to No if the team does not finish in that range. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on the final game of the season rather than the official regular-season standings.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Indiana at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedWhat Curt Cignetti Said About Josh Hoover, Indiana's Resilience And More On His Weekly Radio Show7%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comBack-to-Back 60-Yard FGs Force OT as Cignetti, Indiana Beat Minnesota After Benching Josh Hoover8%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comIndiana's Josh Hoover Benched by Curt Cignetti vs. Minnesota, Box Score Stats, Highlights & Reaction8%
- SI FeedInstant Takeaways As Indiana Survives Minnesota In Overtime7%
- www.espn.comNo. 4 Indiana turns to Wilson at QB, survives Minnesota in OT7%
- SI FeedCurt Cignetti's Biggest Takeaways From Indiana's Wild Overtime Win Over Minnesota9%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedIndiana Football's Biggest Winners and Losers From Overtime Win Over Minnesota9%
- SI FeedIndiana's Grant Wilson Goes From Understudy To Star In Win Over Minnesota9%
- Current odds9%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- No. 4 Indiana turns to Wilson at QB, survives Minnesota in OT www.espn.com ·
- Indiana's Grant Wilson Goes From Understudy To Star In Win Over Minnesota SI Feed
- Indiana Football's Biggest Winners and Losers From Overtime Win Over Minnesota SI Feed
- Curt Cignetti's Biggest Takeaways From Indiana's Wild Overtime Win Over Minnesota SI Feed
- Instant Takeaways As Indiana Survives Minnesota In Overtime SI Feed
- Back-to-Back 60-Yard FGs Force OT as Cignetti, Indiana Beat Minnesota After Benching Josh Hoover feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Indiana's Josh Hoover Benched by Curt Cignetti vs. Minnesota, Box Score Stats, Highlights & Reaction feeds.bleacherreport.com
- What Curt Cignetti Said About Josh Hoover, Indiana's Resilience And More On His Weekly Radio Show SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Indiana 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Indiana 40%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Indiana 86%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Indiana
- Minnesota
- Grant Wilson
- Josh Hoover
- Curt Cignetti