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Caldentey penalty gives Arsenal late WCL win over HB Køge

Mariona Caldentey scores a 93rd-minute penalty to secure a 1-0 victory for Arsenal against HB Køge in their Champions League opener.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 22 Sept 2026 · updated 45d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0%50%100%14%12 Sept, 18:39 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Mariona Caldentey penalty provides late WCL relief for Arsenal against Køge · 22 Sept, 21:10 UTCSkySports: Arsenal penalty clinches late win in WCL; Man City rescue draw at Bayern · 22 Sept, 21:25 UTCSkySports: WCL: Arsenal host HB Koge after Man City rescue draw at Bayern LIVE! · 22 Sept, 18:54 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now14%
20 Sept, 03:56 UTC14%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC14%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 22 Sept 2026. SkySports published first, on 22 September at 18:54 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 2h 16m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 22 September at 21:25 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? — the market puts it at 14%, with $720 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jun 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League title. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if Arsenal is eliminated before claiming the championship. Readers often mistake contract extensions for tournament success, but only the final match result matters.
  • Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 49%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Yes resolves if Arsenal finishes first in the 2026-27 EPL standings; No resolves if any other team wins or if Arsenal is mathematically eliminated from contention. The market also resolves to Other if the season ends without a winner by June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who will win the title rather than a binary outcome based on the final standings.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySportsWCL: Arsenal host HB Koge after Man City rescue draw at Bayern LIVE!14%
  2. The Guardian SportMariona Caldentey penalty provides late WCL relief for Arsenal against Køge14%
  3. SkySportsArsenal penalty clinches late win in WCL; Man City rescue draw at Bayern14%
  4. Current odds14%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Mariona Caldentey penalty provides late WCL relief for Arsenal against Køge The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Arsenal penalty clinches late win in WCL; Man City rescue draw at Bayern SkySports
  3. WCL: Arsenal host HB Koge after Man City rescue draw at Bayern LIVE! SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? 14% $720 24hends 20 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 49% $3k 24hends 30 May 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Mariona Caldentey
  • Arsenal
  • HB Køge
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