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Ben Rice Hits 40th, 41st Home Runs to Top Manager's Prediction

Ben Rice surpasses Aaron Boone's spring training prediction by hitting his 40th and 41st home runs in a win over the Rays.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 24 Sept 2026 · updated 43d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by www.espn.com, 57 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Ben Rice
0%50%100%1%23 Sept, 11:15 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Rice bests Boone's belief by slugging homers 40, 41 · 24 Sept, 11:23 UTCSI Feed: Ben Rice Makes Yankees History as Race for AL Home Run Title Heats Up · 24 Sept, 20:16 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Yankees' Ben Rice Hyped as 'One of the Best' By Aaron Judge After 41st HR of 2026 MLB Season · 24 Sept, 12:20 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
23 Sept, 11:15 UTC1%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 24 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 24 September at 11:23 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 57 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 24 September at 20:16 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Ben Rice — resolved “No” on 28 Sept 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Ben Rice finishes the 2026 regular baseball season with the most home runs among all players. The outcome depends solely on the official league statistics for that specific year. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count includes postseason games or carries over from previous seasons.
  • Ben Rice — resolved “No” on 28 Sept 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Ben Rice finishes the 2026 regular baseball season with the highest OPS among all players. It resolves to No if he does not lead the league in this statistic. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on the end of the playoffs rather than the conclusion of the regular season.
  • Ben Rice — the market puts it at 1%, closing 8 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Ben Rice wins the 2026 American League MVP award. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific title. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his total home runs or general performance rather than the official MVP vote result.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Ben Rice at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. www.espn.comRice bests Boone's belief by slugging homers 40, 411%
  2. feeds.bleacherreport.comYankees' Ben Rice Hyped as 'One of the Best' By Aaron Judge After 41st HR of 2026 MLB Season1%
  3. SI FeedBen Rice Makes Yankees History as Race for AL Home Run Title Heats Up1%
  4. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Rice bests Boone's belief by slugging homers 40, 41 www.espn.com ·
  2. Ben Rice Makes Yankees History as Race for AL Home Run Title Heats Up SI Feed
  3. Yankees' Ben Rice Hyped as 'One of the Best' By Aaron Judge After 41st HR of 2026 MLB Season feeds.bleacherreport.com

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Ben Rice No 40d ago

    The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Ben Rice No 40d ago

    The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Ben Rice 1% $0 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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