Australian Guard Luke Paul Commits to Duke Basketball
The Duke men's basketball team has secured the commitment of Australian point guard Luke Paul, a projected lottery pick in the 2027 draft class.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 22:37 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Sept, 21:41 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Sept, 12:04 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 11:31 UTC | 12% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Duke respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 1 Oct 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 1 October at 20:05 UTC; SI Feed followed 41 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 3 October at 10:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Duke — the market puts it at 13%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Duke wins the 2026-27 NCAA Division I men's basketball national championship. It resolves to No if Duke does not win that specific title. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about Duke’s regular-season performance or its ranking in recruiting classes.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Duke at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- feeds.bleacherreport.comAustralian PG Luke Paul Commits to Duke, Everything to Know About Projected Lottery Pick12%
- SI FeedHow Luke Paul Commitment Affects Duke Basketball's Future Backcourt13%▲1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedHow Luke Paul Commitment Changes Duke's 2027 Recruiting Trail13%
- SI FeedWhat Luke Paul Adds to Duke Basketball's 2027 Recruiting Class13%
- Current odds13%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- What Luke Paul Adds to Duke Basketball's 2027 Recruiting Class SI Feed
- How Luke Paul Commitment Changes Duke's 2027 Recruiting Trail SI Feed
- How Luke Paul Commitment Affects Duke Basketball's Future Backcourt SI Feed
- Australian PG Luke Paul Commits to Duke, Everything to Know About Projected Lottery Pick feeds.bleacherreport.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Duke 13%
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In this story
- Luke Paul
- Duke