Arsenal Appeal Against Max Dowman Red Card Rejected
The Football Association has rejected Arsenal's appeal against the red card issued to 16-year-old Max Dowman during their Carabao Cup defeat to Fleetwood Town.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 20:57 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Nov, 19:16 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 20:14 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 64% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 65% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 07:18 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 65% |
| 31 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 21:14 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 19:08 UTC | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 66% |
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| 29 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 65% |
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| 29 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 66% |
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| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 67% |
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| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 68% |
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| 28 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 67% |
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| 28 Oct, 00:07 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 08:34 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 66% |
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| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 67% |
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| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 58% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 65% |
| 24 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 62% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 59% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 60% |
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| 22 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 62% |
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| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 60% |
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| 20 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 61% |
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| 20 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 60% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 62% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 60% |
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| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 56% |
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| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 60% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 61% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 62% |
| 15 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 63% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 63% |
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| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 61% |
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| 12 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 62% |
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| 11 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 62% |
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| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 62% |
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| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 61% |
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| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 62% |
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| 10 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 62% |
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| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 63% |
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| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 63% |
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| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 61% |
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| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 63% |
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| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 04:06 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 60% |
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| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
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| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 55% |
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| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 56% |
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| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 59% |
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| 27 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 57% |
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| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 60% |
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| 27 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 58% |
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| 27 Sept, 05:36 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 58% |
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| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 60% |
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| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 60% |
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| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 61% |
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| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 60% |
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| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 62% |
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| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
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| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 48% |
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| 23 Sept, 20:00 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 47% |
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| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 47% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Arsenal respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 15 articles since 27 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 27 October at 22:12 UTC; BBC Sport followed 13h 43m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 30 October at 22:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 69%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 70%, with $14k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Yes resolves if Arsenal finishes first in the 2026-27 EPL standings; No resolves if any other team wins or if Arsenal is mathematically eliminated from contention. The market also resolves to Other if the season ends without a winner by June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who will win the title rather than a binary outcome based on the final standings.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 17%, closing 5 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about Chelsea ending Arsenal's unbeaten run as the resolution criteria, but only the final winner of the 2026-2027 FA Cup matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsMerson critical of Arteta's reaction to Dowman after red68%
- SkySportsArteta explains reaction to Dowman red card amid criticism68%
- SkySports'He'll get this all the time now' - Merson's worry for Dowman after Fleetwood red67%▼1 points since the previous source
- BBC SportArsenal to appeal against Dowman red card65%▼2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedWhy Mikel Arteta Was So Angry With Max Dowman After Arsenal Red Card65%
- SkySportsRef Watch: Arsenal's red card appeal will fail - Dowman was aggressive67%▲2 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportMax Dowman’s Fleetwood fracas leaves him, Arsenal and Arteta red-faced67%
- SkySportsArsenal fail with appeal against Dowman's red card66%▼1 points since the previous source
- BBC SportDowman to miss three matches after appeal rejected67%▲1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedArsenal Learn Outcome of Ambitious Appeal to Overturn Max Dowman Red Card67%
Show 5 later sources
- SkySportsArteta shows tough love to Dowman after red - 'This isn't Disneyland'67%
- BBC SportArteta warns Dowman 'we are not in Disneyland' after red card66%▼1 points since the previous source
- The Guardian Sport‘We are not in Disneyland’: Arteta warns Dowman of Arsenal’s demands66%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraArsenal boss Arteta fires ‘Disneyland’ warning at Dowman after red card66%
- SI Feed‘Not in Disneyland’—Mikel Arteta’s Max Dowman Warning After Costly Red Card66%
- Current odds69%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Arsenal boss Arteta fires ‘Disneyland’ warning at Dowman after red card Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- ‘We are not in Disneyland’: Arteta warns Dowman of Arsenal’s demands The Guardian Sport ·
- Max Dowman’s Fleetwood fracas leaves him, Arsenal and Arteta red-faced The Guardian Sport ·
- ‘Not in Disneyland’—Mikel Arteta’s Max Dowman Warning After Costly Red Card SI Feed
- Arteta warns Dowman 'we are not in Disneyland' after red card BBC Sport
- Arteta shows tough love to Dowman after red - 'This isn't Disneyland' SkySports
Show 9 more sources
- Arsenal Learn Outcome of Ambitious Appeal to Overturn Max Dowman Red Card SI Feed
- Dowman to miss three matches after appeal rejected BBC Sport
- Arsenal fail with appeal against Dowman's red card SkySports
- Ref Watch: Arsenal's red card appeal will fail - Dowman was aggressive SkySports
- Why Mikel Arteta Was So Angry With Max Dowman After Arsenal Red Card SI Feed
- Arsenal to appeal against Dowman red card BBC Sport
- 'He'll get this all the time now' - Merson's worry for Dowman after Fleetwood red SkySports
- Arteta explains reaction to Dowman red card amid criticism SkySports
- Merson critical of Arteta's reaction to Dowman after red SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Arsenal 69% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 70% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 17%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Arsenal
- Mikel Arteta
- Max Dowman
- Fleetwood Town