Arsenal suffer defeat to Brighton in Premier League upset
The Gunners lose their unbeaten run as Brighton secure a surprising victory in the Premier League.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 20:00 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 47% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 24 Sept 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 24 September at 10:00 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 61%, with $190k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 13%, with $568 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of any other competition or season.
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 59%, with $61k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Yes resolves if Arsenal finishes first in the 2026-27 EPL standings; No resolves if any other team wins or if Arsenal is mathematically eliminated from contention. The market also resolves to Other if the season ends without a winner by June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who will win the title rather than a binary outcome based on the final standings.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Arsenal 61% +13
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- Kalshi Arsenal 13%
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- Polymarket Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 59% +10
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Brighton