Arsenal fall 10 points behind Manchester City as pressure mounts on Renée Slegers
A 4-2 defeat to Manchester City leaves Arsenal tenth in the Women's Super League, prompting scrutiny over manager Renée Slegers' future.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SkySports, 41 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 62% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 61% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 04:06 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 58% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 28 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 56% |
| 28 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 02:33 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 05:36 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 03:19 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 20:00 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 47% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Arsenal respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 4 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 4 October at 18:46 UTC; www.espn.com followed 41 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 6 October at 16:55 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 63%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal: 75+ Points — the market puts it at 76%, closing 13 Jun 2027. Arsenal must finish the 2026-27 English Premier League season with at least 75 points for the outcome to be Yes. The final league table determines the result, not any single match or interim standings.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 83%, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal finishes in the top two of the 2026-27 English Premier League season. It resolves to No if they finish third or lower. Readers often mistake the linked Champions League headline for the resolution criteria, but only the final league standings matter.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsSlegers: Arsenal not in title race and in need of a review62%
- www.espn.comArsenal's title hopes push further out of reach, and manager Renée Slegers may pay the price62%
- BBC SportArsenal 10 points off WSL leaders - is Slegers' job at risk?61%▼1 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportWSL talking points: heat cranks up on Arsenal, but Putellas and Diani shine63%▲2 points since the previous source
- SkySportsSlegers can no longer hide behind 'fine margins' in defence of Arsenal61%▼2 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportMore woe for Arsenal as Manchester City march on – Women’s Football Weekly podcast62%▲1 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportToo nice: do Arsenal lack the grit and tenacity to end WSL title drought?63%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds63%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Too nice: do Arsenal lack the grit and tenacity to end WSL title drought? The Guardian Sport ·
- More woe for Arsenal as Manchester City march on – Women’s Football Weekly podcast The Guardian Sport ·
- WSL talking points: heat cranks up on Arsenal, but Putellas and Diani shine The Guardian Sport ·
- Arsenal's title hopes push further out of reach, and manager Renée Slegers may pay the price www.espn.com ·
- Slegers can no longer hide behind 'fine margins' in defence of Arsenal SkySports
- Arsenal 10 points off WSL leaders - is Slegers' job at risk? BBC Sport
- Slegers: Arsenal not in title race and in need of a review SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Arsenal 63% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal: 75+ Points 76%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 83%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Manchester City
- Renée Slegers
- Woman's Super League