Arsenal beat Liverpool to go top of Premier League
Kai Havertz scores the winner as Arsenal defeat Liverpool at Anfield for the first time in 16 years to move three points clear at the top of the Premier League.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SkySports, 18 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 08:45 UTC | 72% |
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| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 01:35 UTC | 71% |
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| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 71% |
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| 3 Nov, 17:33 UTC | 70% |
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| 3 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 72% |
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| 3 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 70% |
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| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 68% |
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| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 68% |
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| 31 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 64% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 66% |
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| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 67% |
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| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 65% |
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| 27 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 68% |
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| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 65% |
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| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 67% |
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| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 64% |
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| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 68% |
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| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 64% |
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| 24 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 67% |
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| 24 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 58% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 65% |
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| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 62% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 59% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 60% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 62% |
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| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 60% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 61% |
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| 20 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 61% |
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| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 62% |
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| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 60% |
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| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 60% |
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| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 56% |
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| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 61% |
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| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 62% |
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| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 61% |
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| 17 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 63% |
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| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 63% |
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| 14 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
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| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 62% |
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| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 63% |
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| 13 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 63% |
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| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 63% |
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| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 63% |
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| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 63% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 63% |
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| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 63% |
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| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 63% |
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| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 68% |
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| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 46% |
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| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 47% |
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| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 47% |
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| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 47% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Arsenal respond.
The story so far
7 publishers have covered this in 21 articles since 1 Nov 2026. SkySports published first, on 1 November at 18:30 UTC; www.espn.com followed 19 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 2 November at 18:50 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, SI Feed, BBC Sport, Latest articles.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 71%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 13%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of any other competition or season.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 26%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about Chelsea ending Arsenal's unbeaten run as the resolution criteria, but only the final winner of the 2026-2027 FA Cup matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsArsenal win at Anfield for first time in 14 years to move top70%
- SkySportsArsenal triumphant in historic Anfield victory70%
- www.espn.comArsenal hold off Liverpool for first win at Anfield since 201270%
- SI FeedLiverpool vs. Arsenal Player Ratings: 14-Year Spell Broken in Statement Showing70%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraArsenal go top after narrow win at Liverpool70%
- www.espn.comArsenal hold on for a big win at Liverpool, one Iraola & Co. can learn from71%▲1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedSix Talking Points As Liverpool and Arsenal Deliver Game of the Season So Far71%
- BBC SportArsenal move clear at the top with a rare win at Liverpool71%
- BBC SportFrom Fleetwood embarrassment to 'magical' Anfield win 14 years in making71%
- SI FeedSupercomputer Predicts Premier League Table After Arsenal Claim Rare Anfield Victory71%
Show 11 later sources
- The Guardian SportLiverpool’s work in progress fizzles out in the face of streetwise champions | Andy Hunter70%▼1 points since the previous source
- BBC SportRice relishing title race 'anxiety' after win at Liverpool70%
- Latest articlesArsenal reaffirms status with win over Liverpool to move into first place70%▼1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedKai Havertz Breaks Premier League Record With Arsenal’s Winner at Liverpool71%▲2 points since the previous source
- The Guardian Sport‘We had to dig in’: Arsenal’s Anfield win was performance of champions, says Rice71%
- www.espn.comHow Arsenal got a big win at Liverpool; Milan derby drama; Carrick's future; more71%
- The Guardian SportArsenal end Anfield wait and Manchester United beaten again | Football Weekly – video71%
- SkySportsMerse: Arsenal showed mark of champions at Anfield69%▼2 points since the previous source
- The Guardian USArsenal have everything they need to repeat as Premier League champions | Jonathan Wilson69%
- SI FeedArsenal Star Aims Petty AI Social Media Swipe at Virgil van Dijk After Anfield Win70%▲1 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportStumbling block: Wirtz's and Liverpool’s costly struggles against tight defences | Andrew Beasley71%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds71%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Stumbling block: Wirtz's and Liverpool’s costly struggles against tight defences | Andrew Beasley The Guardian Sport ·
- Arsenal have everything they need to repeat as Premier League champions | Jonathan Wilson The Guardian US ·
- Arsenal end Anfield wait and Manchester United beaten again | Football Weekly – video The Guardian Sport ·
- How Arsenal got a big win at Liverpool; Milan derby drama; Carrick's future; more www.espn.com ·
- ‘We had to dig in’: Arsenal’s Anfield win was performance of champions, says Rice The Guardian Sport ·
- Liverpool’s work in progress fizzles out in the face of streetwise champions | Andy Hunter The Guardian Sport ·
Show 15 more sources
- Arsenal hold on for a big win at Liverpool, one Iraola & Co. can learn from www.espn.com ·
- Arsenal go top after narrow win at Liverpool Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Arsenal hold off Liverpool for first win at Anfield since 2012 www.espn.com ·
- Arsenal Star Aims Petty AI Social Media Swipe at Virgil van Dijk After Anfield Win SI Feed
- Merse: Arsenal showed mark of champions at Anfield SkySports
- Kai Havertz Breaks Premier League Record With Arsenal’s Winner at Liverpool SI Feed
- Arsenal reaffirms status with win over Liverpool to move into first place Latest articles
- Rice relishing title race 'anxiety' after win at Liverpool BBC Sport
- Supercomputer Predicts Premier League Table After Arsenal Claim Rare Anfield Victory SI Feed
- From Fleetwood embarrassment to 'magical' Anfield win 14 years in making BBC Sport
- Arsenal move clear at the top with a rare win at Liverpool BBC Sport
- Six Talking Points As Liverpool and Arsenal Deliver Game of the Season So Far SI Feed
- Liverpool vs. Arsenal Player Ratings: 14-Year Spell Broken in Statement Showing SI Feed
- Arsenal triumphant in historic Anfield victory SkySports
- Arsenal win at Anfield for first time in 14 years to move top SkySports
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- Kalshi Arsenal 71% −1
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- Kalshi Arsenal 13%
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- Kalshi Arsenal 26% +2
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Liverpool
- Kai Havertz
- Declan Rice
- Manchester City
- Alisson Becker