Arsenal Beat Leeds 2-1 to Move Joint Top of Premier League With Man City

Bruno Guimarães scored the equaliser as Arsenal came from behind to defeat Leeds United and level with leaders Manchester City.

5 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 10 Oct 2026 · updated 28d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by SkySports, 2 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Arsenal

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	61%
12 Oct, 20:09 UTC	61%
12 Oct, 17:05 UTC	60%
12 Oct, 16:52 UTC	61%
12 Oct, 05:43 UTC	60%
12 Oct, 04:54 UTC	61%
12 Oct, 04:10 UTC	60%
12 Oct, 02:15 UTC	61%
12 Oct, 01:56 UTC	61%
11 Oct, 23:24 UTC	60%
11 Oct, 21:19 UTC	61%
11 Oct, 20:59 UTC	61%
11 Oct, 19:43 UTC	63%
11 Oct, 18:17 UTC	62%
11 Oct, 17:57 UTC	62%
11 Oct, 14:29 UTC	64%
11 Oct, 06:13 UTC	63%
11 Oct, 02:30 UTC	62%
11 Oct, 01:46 UTC	63%
10 Oct, 22:39 UTC	62%
10 Oct, 22:19 UTC	64%
10 Oct, 20:53 UTC	63%
10 Oct, 20:28 UTC	62%
10 Oct, 19:56 UTC	64%
10 Oct, 18:33 UTC	61%
10 Oct, 18:27 UTC	62%
10 Oct, 16:41 UTC	62%
10 Oct, 16:08 UTC	62%
10 Oct, 14:34 UTC	61%
10 Oct, 14:20 UTC	63%
10 Oct, 13:52 UTC	65%
10 Oct, 13:01 UTC	60%
10 Oct, 12:54 UTC	62%
10 Oct, 12:21 UTC	64%
10 Oct, 10:31 UTC	65%
10 Oct, 08:37 UTC	63%
10 Oct, 04:20 UTC	62%
9 Oct, 22:52 UTC	63%
9 Oct, 20:55 UTC	64%
9 Oct, 15:07 UTC	63%
9 Oct, 14:45 UTC	62%
9 Oct, 04:33 UTC	63%
8 Oct, 22:42 UTC	61%
8 Oct, 21:56 UTC	62%
8 Oct, 16:53 UTC	63%
8 Oct, 05:58 UTC	63%
7 Oct, 23:38 UTC	62%
7 Oct, 22:32 UTC	61%
7 Oct, 22:12 UTC	63%
7 Oct, 19:27 UTC	62%
7 Oct, 14:55 UTC	61%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC	62%
6 Oct, 20:30 UTC	61%
6 Oct, 14:37 UTC	63%
6 Oct, 06:33 UTC	62%
6 Oct, 02:30 UTC	61%
6 Oct, 01:16 UTC	63%
5 Oct, 18:14 UTC	61%
5 Oct, 17:28 UTC	63%
5 Oct, 16:54 UTC	62%
5 Oct, 14:01 UTC	61%
5 Oct, 06:09 UTC	63%
5 Oct, 05:24 UTC	61%
5 Oct, 03:19 UTC	62%
4 Oct, 23:38 UTC	63%
4 Oct, 22:43 UTC	61%
4 Oct, 21:05 UTC	62%
4 Oct, 19:46 UTC	61%
4 Oct, 18:33 UTC	62%
4 Oct, 17:20 UTC	61%
4 Oct, 16:55 UTC	62%
4 Oct, 15:05 UTC	62%
4 Oct, 14:46 UTC	63%
4 Oct, 13:05 UTC	62%
4 Oct, 00:41 UTC	61%
3 Oct, 20:17 UTC	62%
3 Oct, 19:42 UTC	63%
3 Oct, 19:02 UTC	62%
3 Oct, 18:09 UTC	61%
3 Oct, 16:00 UTC	62%
3 Oct, 03:44 UTC	61%
3 Oct, 02:46 UTC	62%
2 Oct, 22:42 UTC	63%
2 Oct, 21:29 UTC	61%
2 Oct, 18:55 UTC	63%
2 Oct, 18:13 UTC	62%
2 Oct, 16:23 UTC	61%
2 Oct, 14:28 UTC	62%
2 Oct, 12:44 UTC	63%
2 Oct, 04:01 UTC	63%
2 Oct, 03:09 UTC	62%
1 Oct, 23:25 UTC	63%
1 Oct, 20:56 UTC	62%
1 Oct, 15:00 UTC	63%
1 Oct, 10:13 UTC	62%
1 Oct, 09:23 UTC	63%
30 Sept, 23:47 UTC	63%
30 Sept, 23:06 UTC	61%
30 Sept, 22:51 UTC	62%
30 Sept, 20:46 UTC	62%
30 Sept, 19:53 UTC	63%
30 Sept, 16:26 UTC	62%
30 Sept, 15:39 UTC	63%
30 Sept, 13:57 UTC	62%
30 Sept, 12:16 UTC	63%
30 Sept, 11:25 UTC	62%
30 Sept, 06:48 UTC	63%
30 Sept, 06:20 UTC	63%
30 Sept, 04:06 UTC	62%
30 Sept, 03:34 UTC	61%
30 Sept, 01:52 UTC	60%
30 Sept, 01:08 UTC	61%
30 Sept, 00:10 UTC	62%
29 Sept, 22:38 UTC	63%
29 Sept, 21:40 UTC	63%
29 Sept, 21:25 UTC	68%
29 Sept, 20:26 UTC	61%
29 Sept, 19:33 UTC	60%
29 Sept, 18:54 UTC	61%
29 Sept, 18:13 UTC	61%
29 Sept, 17:16 UTC	60%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC	59%
29 Sept, 14:15 UTC	58%
29 Sept, 13:27 UTC	59%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC	58%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC	57%
28 Sept, 12:57 UTC	56%
28 Sept, 09:19 UTC	55%
28 Sept, 06:36 UTC	54%
28 Sept, 04:36 UTC	55%
28 Sept, 04:15 UTC	51%
28 Sept, 02:33 UTC	58%
28 Sept, 00:54 UTC	56%
27 Sept, 23:51 UTC	56%
27 Sept, 22:40 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 22:24 UTC	55%
27 Sept, 20:15 UTC	52%
27 Sept, 19:20 UTC	59%
27 Sept, 18:44 UTC	58%
27 Sept, 18:27 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 17:31 UTC	58%
27 Sept, 16:30 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 16:23 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 15:17 UTC	60%
27 Sept, 13:55 UTC	59%
27 Sept, 13:09 UTC	58%
27 Sept, 11:54 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 07:55 UTC	58%
27 Sept, 06:54 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 05:36 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 04:11 UTC	58%
27 Sept, 03:19 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 02:58 UTC	57%
27 Sept, 01:41 UTC	58%
26 Sept, 19:56 UTC	60%
26 Sept, 18:43 UTC	61%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC	60%
26 Sept, 15:31 UTC	61%
26 Sept, 12:13 UTC	60%
26 Sept, 04:45 UTC	61%
26 Sept, 02:24 UTC	60%
26 Sept, 01:37 UTC	61%
26 Sept, 01:04 UTC	60%
25 Sept, 23:08 UTC	61%
25 Sept, 22:40 UTC	60%
25 Sept, 22:22 UTC	61%
25 Sept, 21:27 UTC	61%
25 Sept, 18:43 UTC	60%
25 Sept, 17:13 UTC	61%
25 Sept, 16:37 UTC	62%
25 Sept, 16:04 UTC	60%
25 Sept, 15:57 UTC	60%
25 Sept, 15:27 UTC	57%
25 Sept, 14:54 UTC	56%
25 Sept, 14:25 UTC	54%
25 Sept, 13:54 UTC	50%
25 Sept, 11:56 UTC	47%
25 Sept, 05:43 UTC	48%
25 Sept, 04:35 UTC	46%
25 Sept, 02:13 UTC	48%
24 Sept, 23:39 UTC	48%
24 Sept, 23:00 UTC	47%
24 Sept, 21:25 UTC	48%
24 Sept, 18:41 UTC	47%
24 Sept, 14:28 UTC	48%
24 Sept, 04:17 UTC	47%
24 Sept, 00:41 UTC	46%
23 Sept, 23:41 UTC	47%
23 Sept, 23:08 UTC	48%
23 Sept, 21:29 UTC	47%
23 Sept, 20:00 UTC	48%
23 Sept, 17:11 UTC	47%
23 Sept, 16:19 UTC	48%
22 Sept, 15:39 UTC	47%

The story so far

5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 10 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 10 October at 13:39 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 2 min later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 10 October at 19:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Arsenal — the market puts it at 61%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
Arsenal — the market puts it at 14%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of any other competition or season.
Arsenal — the market puts it at 32%, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about Chelsea ending Arsenal's unbeaten run as the resolution criteria, but only the final winner of the 2026-2027 FA Cup matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

10 Oct, 13:39SkySports Arsenal come from behind to beat stubborn Leeds60%
10 Oct, 13:41The Guardian Sport Bruno Guimarães completes Arsenal comeback to end Leeds’ unbeaten run60%
10 Oct, 14:42Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Arsenal beat Leeds 2-1 in comeback win to move level with Man City at top61%▲1 points since the previous source
10 Oct, 15:40www.espn.com Arsenal fight back to win as Premier League resumes under cloud of Man City's guilty verdict61%
10 Oct, 19:00BBC Sport Brilliant Guimaraes goal helps Arsenal fight back to beat Leeds61%
NowCurrent odds61%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Kalshi Arsenal 61% −2 $2k 24hends 13 Jun 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi Arsenal 14% $1k 24hends 19 Jun 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi Arsenal 32% −1 $15 24hends 5 Jun 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong

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In this story

Arsenal
Leeds United
Manchester City
Bruno Guimarães

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