Apple iPhone Duo Preorders Delayed to 2027 Amid Extraordinary Demand
Strong demand for Apple's first foldable phone has pushed delivery estimates from October into January 2027, with some regions reporting unauthorized credit card charges during the preorder frenzy.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 100% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 100% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 100% |
| 18 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 100% |
| 18 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 99% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 99% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 99% |
| 17 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 100% |
| 17 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 99% |
| 16 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 100% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 100% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 100% |
| 15 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 100% |
| 15 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 100% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 100% |
| 15 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 10:43 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 100% |
| 7 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 100% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 99% |
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| 5 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 100% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 99% |
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| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 18:23 UTC | 99% |
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| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 99% |
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| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 08:10 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 99% |
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| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 99% |
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| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 99% |
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| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 99% |
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| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 99% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 08:12 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 05:08 UTC | 99% |
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| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 00:33 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 18:00 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 13:03 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 99% |
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| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 01:59 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 12:47 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 11:50 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 06:33 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 21:33 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 10:24 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Sept, 00:38 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Sept, 18:32 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Sept, 01:11 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 23:58 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 16:35 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 15:36 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 08:47 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 99% |
| 17 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 99% |
| 17 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 98% |
| 17 Sept, 14:38 UTC | 99% |
| 17 Sept, 12:02 UTC | 98% |
| 17 Sept, 11:42 UTC | 98% |
| 17 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 99% |
| 17 Sept, 07:16 UTC | 99% |
| 16 Sept, 16:31 UTC | 99% |
| 16 Sept, 15:26 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Sept, 15:02 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Sept, 21:03 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Sept, 08:28 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Sept, 21:00 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 98% |
| 13 Sept, 08:07 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 99% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? respond.
The story so far
10 publishers have covered this in 16 articles since 14 Oct 2026. Engadget published first, on 14 October at 11:00 UTC; The Verge followed 27h 08m later. The most recent article, from RSS 2.0, appeared on 17 October at 18:12 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), RSS 2.0, Latest news, CNET, Quartz, All Content from Business Insider, South China Morning Post, Inc..
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? — resolved “Yes” on 23 Oct 2026. For the outcome to be Yes, Apple must make a foldable smartphone available for public purchase by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement or unveiling alone does not count; the device must be purchasable by the general public within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that an official announcement is sufficient, but the product must actually be available for purchase.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? — resolved “Yes” on 23 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Apple makes a foldable smartphone available for public purchase by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The product does not need to carry the iPhone brand name, but an announcement alone is insufficient; it must be purchasable. Readers often mistake the deadline date or assume that a mere unveiling counts as a release.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 4%, with $17k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Apple publicly releases the iPhone 18 before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a smart home hub for the relevant event, but only the iPhone 18 launch counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- EngadgetBeat the iPhone Duo pre-order rush with Apple's Get Ready tool99%
- The VergePrep your cart before iPhone Duo preorders open tomorrow99%
- EngadgetApple's $2,000 iPhone Duo goes on pre-order today at 8AM ET100%
- zdnet.comT-Mobile’s iPhone Duo deal gives you $1,000 off when you preorder now. Here’s how100%
- CNETiPhone Duo Preorders Sell Out in Minutes: Backordered Until January100%
- QuartzApple began taking iPhone Duo pre-orders at $1,999, and shipping slipped to Nov. 23100%
- Bloomberg TechnologyApple iPhone Duo Orders Slip Into 2027 Amid Preorder Frenzy100%
- The VergeiPhone Duo orders are already delayed into 2027100%
- zdnet.comAT&T will take $1,200 off your preorder of the iPhone Duo – what to know100%
- Bloomberg TechnologyiPhone Duo in Short Supply After Shipments Slip Into 2027100%
Show 6 later sources
- Latest newsWant an iPhone Duo before 2027? Don’t preorder from Apple – try this instead100%
- All Content from Business InsiderWant Apple's folding iPhone? Duo you have patience?100%
- News FeedApple blames ‘extraordinary’ demand as foldable iPhones sell out100%
- South China Morning PostPolice receive over 100 reports about credit card charges for iPhone Duo pre-orders99%
- Inc.Apple Says iPhone Duo Demand Is Extraordinary. Compared With What?100%
- RSS 2.0iPhone Duo shipping estimates have already been pushed back to 202799%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Apple blames ‘extraordinary’ demand as foldable iPhones sell out News Feed ·
- iPhone Duo in Short Supply After Shipments Slip Into 2027 Bloomberg Technology ·
- iPhone Duo orders are already delayed into 2027 The Verge ·
- Apple iPhone Duo Orders Slip Into 2027 Amid Preorder Frenzy Bloomberg Technology ·
- Prep your cart before iPhone Duo preorders open tomorrow The Verge ·
- iPhone Duo shipping estimates have already been pushed back to 2027 RSS 2.0
Show 10 more sources
- Apple Says iPhone Duo Demand Is Extraordinary. Compared With What? Inc.
- Police receive over 100 reports about credit card charges for iPhone Duo pre-orders South China Morning Post
- Want Apple's folding iPhone? Duo you have patience? All Content from Business Insider
- Want an iPhone Duo before 2027? Don’t preorder from Apple – try this instead Latest news
- AT&T will take $1,200 off your preorder of the iPhone Duo – what to know zdnet.com
- Apple began taking iPhone Duo pre-orders at $1,999, and shipping slipped to Nov. 23 Quartz
- iPhone Duo Preorders Sell Out in Minutes: Backordered Until January CNET
- T-Mobile’s iPhone Duo deal gives you $1,000 off when you preorder now. Here’s how zdnet.com
- Apple's $2,000 iPhone Duo goes on pre-order today at 8AM ET Engadget
- Beat the iPhone Duo pre-order rush with Apple's Get Ready tool Engadget
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? Yes 15d ago
The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes 15d ago
The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 4% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Apple
- iPhone Duo