Appalachia Memoir Author Beth Macy Runs for Congress in Virginia
Beth Macy, author of Dopesick, is canvassing Virginia's sixth congressional district to challenge the long-standing Republican hold on the seat.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 18:21 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 10:09 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 14:03 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 12:34 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 11:50 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 16:07 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 14:09 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 12:09 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 01:51 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 7% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 7% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 17:06 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 16:52 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 14:48 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Sept 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 26 September at 14:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Beth Macy — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the person sworn into the U.S. House for Virginia's 6th district at the start of the 2027 term is a Democrat. The outcome depends on the official party affiliation of the member who takes office in January 2027. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the result hinges on who is actually sworn in.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Beth Macy No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Beth Macy
- JD Vance
- Dopesick
- Roanoke Times