Alberta Separatism Moves From Fringe Cause to Referendum
The movement has evolved from a fringe cause into a formal referendum.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 06:30 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 18:31 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Oct 2026. ABC News published first, on 17 October at 14:34 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — resolved “No” on 20 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if the 2026 Alberta referendum option asking the government to start the legal process for a separation vote passes. The outcome is No if that specific option fails or does not pass. Readers often mistake the final independence vote for the triggering event, but only the approval of this initial procedural step matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Yes No 18d ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?