Alaska Ranked-Choice Voting Faces Scrutiny Amid Scandal
Voters in Alaska are casting ballots under a ranked-choice system that has returned to public debate following recent scandals.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 5 Nov, 10:24 UTC | 84% |
| 5 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Nov, 03:30 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 11:47 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 10:29 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 08:38 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 07:34 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 21:03 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Nov, 18:44 UTC | 57% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Nov, 17:17 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 14:39 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Nov, 10:45 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Nov, 23:16 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Nov, 16:19 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Sept, 10:17 UTC | 61% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 1 Nov 2026. National Review published first, on 1 November at 20:14 UTC; CBS News Politics followed 19h 56m later. The most recent article, from National Review, appeared on 3 November at 11:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News Politics (major outlet), National Review.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House — the market puts it at 80%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if a Republican wins Alaska’s U.S. House seat, while Democrats win both the Governor and U.S. Senate races in the November 3, 2026 election. The result depends on the final winners after ranked-choice tabulation. Readers often mistake early polls or intermediate results for the official resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- National ReviewRanked-Choice Voting Is a Rank Idea58%
- CBS News PoliticsHow Alaska's ranked choice voting system works58%
- National ReviewKeep American Voting Simple53%▼5 points since the previous source
- Current odds80%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House 80% −3
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In this story
- Alaska