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AI Coding Cuts Cost of Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Transaction by 79%

An optimization challenge led by StarkWare reduced the estimated cost to prepare a quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction from $320 to under $67.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 24 Sept 2026 · updated 44d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · 75,000 to 79,999.99
0%50%100%11%22 Sept, 10:30 UTCnowCoinDesk: A week of AI coding cut a quantum-safe bitcoin transaction estimate from $320 to $66 · 24 Sept, 05:24 UTCCointelegraph.com News: Bitcoin’s ‘last resort’ quantum-safe solution just got 79% cheaper: StarkWare · 24 Sept, 04:52 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
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The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 24 Sept 2026. Cointelegraph.com News published first, on 24 September at 04:52 UTC; CoinDesk followed 32 min later. The most recent article, from CoinDesk, appeared on 24 September at 05:24 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), Cointelegraph.com News.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • 75,000 to 79,999.99 — the market puts it at 11%, with $16k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the simple average of CF Benchmarks' BRTI during the sixty seconds before 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027, falls between 75,000.00 and 79,999.99. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the resolution date or source, but only the specific CF Benchmarks data at that exact time counts.
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 24? — resolved “No” on 24 Sept 2026. The market resolves based on the final closing price of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at 12:00 ET on September 24. For the "Yes" outcome, this specific price must be less than $68,000; otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly check other exchanges or different trading pairs instead of the designated Binance BTC/USDT candle.
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27? — resolved “No” on 28 Sept 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if the lowest price on a 1-minute Binance candle for BTC/USDT falls at or below $68,000 between 12:00 AM ET on September 21 and 11:59 PM ET on September 27. It resolves to "No" if that specific low price never reaches $68,000 during this window.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. A week of AI coding cut a quantum-safe bitcoin transaction estimate from $320 to $66 CoinDesk ·
  2. Bitcoin’s ‘last resort’ quantum-safe solution just got 79% cheaper: StarkWare Cointelegraph.com News

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi 75,000 to 79,999.99 11% $16k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 24? No 44d ago
    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27? No 40d ago
    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • StarkWare
  • Bitcoin
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