Experts Pick A'ja Wilson for MVP, Olivia Miles for Rookie of the Year in 2026 WNBA Awards
Analysts project A'ja Wilson to win MVP and Olivia Miles to take Rookie of the Year as the 2026 WNBA regular season concludes.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 98% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 07:45 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 100% |
| 5 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 23:13 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 10:16 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 100% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 01:03 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 02:30 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 98% |
| 26 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 02:09 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 07:07 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 05:10 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 00:06 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 22:07 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 18:24 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 12:09 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 11:09 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Sept, 08:16 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Sept, 07:04 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Sept, 06:50 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Sept, 05:41 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 05:12 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 04:23 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 02:18 UTC | 89% |
| 24 Sept, 01:14 UTC | 91% |
| 24 Sept, 00:55 UTC | 90% |
| 24 Sept, 00:23 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Sept, 22:55 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 21:43 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 85% |
| 23 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 88% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Sept, 12:54 UTC | 85% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 86% |
| 23 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 85% |
| 23 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Sept, 10:24 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Sept, 09:35 UTC | 88% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 88% |
| 23 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 88% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Sept, 06:56 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Sept, 06:28 UTC | 88% |
| 23 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 85% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 91% |
| 23 Sept, 04:54 UTC | 93% |
| 23 Sept, 04:08 UTC | 93% |
| 23 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 94% |
| 23 Sept, 03:22 UTC | 95% |
| 22 Sept, 21:06 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 20:12 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 13:15 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 09:05 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 95% |
| 22 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 95% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 96% |
| 22 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 22:41 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 16:36 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Sept, 12:17 UTC | 94% |
| 20 Sept, 12:17 UTC | 93% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 22 Sept 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 22 September at 12:06 UTC; SI Feed followed 29h 23m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 25 September at 16:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? — resolved “Yes” on 8 Oct 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if A'ja Wilson is officially named the 2026 WNBA MVP by the league. It resolves to "No" if any other player wins the award or if no winner is declared within the specified timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the announcement date rather than the season's end, and they may overlook that a tie breaks alphabetically by last name.
- Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? — resolved “Yes” on 1 Oct 2026. Yes resolves if Angel Reese wins the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award. No resolves if any other player wins that specific award. Readers often mistake expert predictions or media consensus for the official result, but only the actual winner declared by the WNBA counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- feeds.bleacherreport.com2026 WNBA Awards Picks for MVP, Rookie of the Year, More96%
- SI Feed2026 WNBA Awards and All-WNBA Team Picks: Who Made the Cut?82%▼13 points since the previous source
- SI FeedRanking the Five Best WNBA Rookies of the 2026 Season96%▲14 points since the previous source
- CBS Sports Headlines2026 WNBA awards picks: A'ja Wilson sweeps MVP, experts divided on Angel Reese for top defender96%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesWNBA Rookie Rankings: Olivia Miles leads loaded top 10 in outstanding class for 2026 season96%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- WNBA Rookie Rankings: Olivia Miles leads loaded top 10 in outstanding class for 2026 season CBS Sports Headlines
- 2026 WNBA awards picks: A'ja Wilson sweeps MVP, experts divided on Angel Reese for top defender CBS Sports Headlines
- Ranking the Five Best WNBA Rookies of the 2026 Season SI Feed
- 2026 WNBA Awards and All-WNBA Team Picks: Who Made the Cut? SI Feed
- 2026 WNBA Awards Picks for MVP, Rookie of the Year, More feeds.bleacherreport.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? Yes 29d ago
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? Yes 36d ago
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Olivia Miles
- A'ja Wilson
- Angel Reese