Justice Department

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Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Justice Department each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

169 articles in 14 days, per day.

Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

How the odds moved · Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	38%
31 Oct, 19:46 UTC	38%
31 Oct, 19:17 UTC	39%
31 Oct, 16:15 UTC	38%
31 Oct, 14:31 UTC	37%
31 Oct, 11:06 UTC	36%
31 Oct, 10:52 UTC	36%
31 Oct, 08:35 UTC	37%
31 Oct, 08:28 UTC	36%
31 Oct, 07:39 UTC	37%
31 Oct, 07:11 UTC	37%
31 Oct, 06:57 UTC	38%
31 Oct, 05:04 UTC	37%
31 Oct, 04:57 UTC	37%
31 Oct, 03:01 UTC	37%
31 Oct, 02:26 UTC	36%
31 Oct, 01:39 UTC	36%
31 Oct, 01:25 UTC	36%
31 Oct, 00:57 UTC	36%
31 Oct, 00:24 UTC	36%
30 Oct, 23:41 UTC	37%
30 Oct, 23:23 UTC	36%
30 Oct, 21:17 UTC	41%
30 Oct, 20:51 UTC	41%
30 Oct, 20:08 UTC	42%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC	43%
30 Oct, 19:13 UTC	44%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC	45%
30 Oct, 18:18 UTC	44%
30 Oct, 17:49 UTC	43%
30 Oct, 17:01 UTC	42%
30 Oct, 13:50 UTC	43%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC	43%
30 Oct, 09:37 UTC	44%
30 Oct, 08:41 UTC	43%
30 Oct, 08:22 UTC	42%
30 Oct, 07:48 UTC	43%
30 Oct, 04:36 UTC	43%
30 Oct, 04:29 UTC	41%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC	39%
30 Oct, 03:09 UTC	39%
30 Oct, 02:41 UTC	38%
30 Oct, 00:35 UTC	39%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC	43%
29 Oct, 23:47 UTC	43%
29 Oct, 22:32 UTC	44%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC	43%
29 Oct, 21:41 UTC	43%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC	44%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC	44%
29 Oct, 17:46 UTC	43%
29 Oct, 16:07 UTC	37%
29 Oct, 15:45 UTC	36%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC	35%
29 Oct, 11:12 UTC	34%
29 Oct, 09:34 UTC	34%
29 Oct, 09:12 UTC	34%
29 Oct, 08:43 UTC	35%
29 Oct, 07:32 UTC	36%
29 Oct, 07:26 UTC	36%
29 Oct, 06:44 UTC	36%
29 Oct, 05:44 UTC	36%
29 Oct, 05:29 UTC	37%
29 Oct, 04:56 UTC	36%
29 Oct, 03:49 UTC	36%
29 Oct, 03:28 UTC	38%
29 Oct, 02:53 UTC	38%
29 Oct, 02:13 UTC	34%
29 Oct, 01:52 UTC	28%
29 Oct, 00:27 UTC	28%
28 Oct, 23:54 UTC	29%
28 Oct, 23:04 UTC	29%
28 Oct, 22:46 UTC	28%
28 Oct, 22:18 UTC	28%
28 Oct, 20:44 UTC	28%
28 Oct, 20:02 UTC	33%
28 Oct, 19:55 UTC	33%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC	33%
28 Oct, 18:22 UTC	32%
28 Oct, 16:24 UTC	33%
28 Oct, 15:11 UTC	33%
28 Oct, 10:56 UTC	31%
28 Oct, 10:09 UTC	32%
28 Oct, 09:55 UTC	34%
28 Oct, 08:56 UTC	37%
28 Oct, 07:22 UTC	36%
28 Oct, 06:20 UTC	34%
28 Oct, 05:58 UTC	34%
28 Oct, 05:03 UTC	33%
28 Oct, 04:56 UTC	32%
28 Oct, 04:17 UTC	31%
28 Oct, 03:50 UTC	32%
28 Oct, 03:05 UTC	31%
28 Oct, 02:23 UTC	31%
28 Oct, 01:49 UTC	32%
27 Oct, 20:39 UTC	28%
26 Oct, 19:30 UTC	30%
25 Oct, 17:56 UTC	31%
25 Oct, 17:17 UTC	32%
25 Oct, 05:31 UTC	33%
25 Oct, 03:58 UTC	32%
25 Oct, 02:56 UTC	31%
25 Oct, 02:00 UTC	32%
25 Oct, 00:50 UTC	31%
25 Oct, 00:29 UTC	31%

Stories

DOJ Probes Alaska Senate Race Over Decoy Candidate Named Dan Sullivan Hot: $173k traded on its market in 24 hours

Federal authorities are investigating whether a Democratic campaign violated election laws by recruiting a decoy candidate with the same name as incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan.

politics 20 sources 6d ago

Kalshi Democratic party 70% +1

Federal Courts Block DOJ From Threatening Election Officials or Seizing California Ballots

A federal judge issued a restraining order against the Justice Department's threats to election workers, while the 9th Circuit rejected an emergency bid to set aside 20,000 California ballots days before the midterms.

politics 17 sources 7d ago

Kalshi Before 2030 22%

Justice Department Seeks to Keep Ilhan Omar Search Warrant Under Seal

Federal prosecutors ask a judge to reject media requests to unseal the warrant for Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home, citing ongoing criminal investigation concerns.

politics 2 sources 7d ago

Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 18% +3