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Yes

Implied probability 19%+4
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$45k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
How the odds moved · Yes
0%50%100%19%25 Oct, 17:35 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now19%
1 Nov, 15:08 UTC20%
1 Nov, 14:30 UTC20%
1 Nov, 14:16 UTC19%
1 Nov, 13:54 UTC19%
1 Nov, 12:41 UTC15%
1 Nov, 10:28 UTC17%
1 Nov, 09:08 UTC14%
1 Nov, 05:04 UTC15%
1 Nov, 04:01 UTC14%
1 Nov, 03:19 UTC15%
1 Nov, 01:24 UTC13%
1 Nov, 00:28 UTC17%
31 Oct, 23:38 UTC17%
31 Oct, 23:11 UTC15%
31 Oct, 21:46 UTC15%
31 Oct, 20:36 UTC15%
31 Oct, 19:17 UTC13%
31 Oct, 18:48 UTC14%
31 Oct, 18:19 UTC13%
31 Oct, 17:34 UTC14%
31 Oct, 17:21 UTC15%
31 Oct, 16:58 UTC14%
31 Oct, 16:15 UTC14%
31 Oct, 15:52 UTC14%
31 Oct, 14:16 UTC13%
31 Oct, 12:11 UTC14%
31 Oct, 10:45 UTC16%
31 Oct, 08:14 UTC14%
31 Oct, 07:32 UTC13%
31 Oct, 07:11 UTC17%
31 Oct, 05:26 UTC17%
31 Oct, 04:35 UTC14%
31 Oct, 03:52 UTC15%
31 Oct, 03:24 UTC14%
31 Oct, 02:54 UTC14%
31 Oct, 02:26 UTC13%
31 Oct, 01:53 UTC15%
31 Oct, 01:04 UTC13%
30 Oct, 23:55 UTC16%
30 Oct, 23:23 UTC15%
30 Oct, 22:33 UTC15%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC16%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC13%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC14%
30 Oct, 18:03 UTC15%
30 Oct, 17:49 UTC17%
30 Oct, 17:20 UTC17%
30 Oct, 15:06 UTC15%
30 Oct, 14:16 UTC17%
30 Oct, 13:42 UTC14%
30 Oct, 12:38 UTC15%
30 Oct, 09:22 UTC17%
30 Oct, 05:08 UTC15%
30 Oct, 04:22 UTC16%
30 Oct, 03:09 UTC17%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC17%
29 Oct, 23:19 UTC15%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC17%
29 Oct, 21:34 UTC15%
29 Oct, 20:38 UTC16%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC15%
29 Oct, 19:57 UTC17%
29 Oct, 10:34 UTC15%
29 Oct, 09:19 UTC17%
29 Oct, 05:03 UTC14%
29 Oct, 04:21 UTC16%
29 Oct, 03:07 UTC15%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC14%
29 Oct, 00:34 UTC14%
29 Oct, 00:27 UTC15%
28 Oct, 23:26 UTC17%
28 Oct, 21:49 UTC18%
28 Oct, 20:59 UTC17%
28 Oct, 18:59 UTC17%
28 Oct, 18:14 UTC18%
28 Oct, 17:54 UTC17%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC16%
28 Oct, 15:19 UTC19%
28 Oct, 13:49 UTC17%
28 Oct, 12:50 UTC18%
28 Oct, 12:04 UTC20%
28 Oct, 11:31 UTC18%
28 Oct, 09:39 UTC20%
28 Oct, 07:08 UTC18%
28 Oct, 06:11 UTC21%
28 Oct, 05:10 UTC18%
28 Oct, 04:49 UTC19%
28 Oct, 02:30 UTC19%
28 Oct, 02:23 UTC19%
28 Oct, 01:35 UTC21%
28 Oct, 01:14 UTC20%
28 Oct, 00:28 UTC18%
27 Oct, 21:26 UTC19%
27 Oct, 20:32 UTC20%
27 Oct, 20:24 UTC21%
27 Oct, 19:26 UTC19%
27 Oct, 18:56 UTC18%
27 Oct, 17:57 UTC21%
27 Oct, 15:42 UTC17%
27 Oct, 15:27 UTC14%
27 Oct, 13:57 UTC16%
27 Oct, 12:33 UTC18%
27 Oct, 06:20 UTC20%
27 Oct, 05:20 UTC21%
27 Oct, 03:33 UTC23%
27 Oct, 02:16 UTC24%
27 Oct, 01:25 UTC23%
27 Oct, 00:31 UTC27%
27 Oct, 00:10 UTC20%
26 Oct, 23:24 UTC23%
26 Oct, 22:08 UTC21%
26 Oct, 21:45 UTC20%
26 Oct, 20:49 UTC17%
26 Oct, 19:15 UTC14%
26 Oct, 18:33 UTC17%
26 Oct, 18:19 UTC14%
26 Oct, 16:09 UTC16%
26 Oct, 14:30 UTC15%
26 Oct, 11:24 UTC14%
26 Oct, 08:44 UTC12%
26 Oct, 08:09 UTC14%
26 Oct, 05:36 UTC12%
26 Oct, 04:36 UTC15%
26 Oct, 04:22 UTC13%
26 Oct, 02:20 UTC14%
25 Oct, 21:21 UTC13%
25 Oct, 19:46 UTC14%
25 Oct, 18:32 UTC12%
25 Oct, 17:35 UTC9%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the 2026 California Voter ID initiative passes. It resolves to No if the initiative fails. Readers often mistake news about Department of Justice threats for the actual passage of the measure.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 19%
  • No 81%

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