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How much the press wrote about Kalshi each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 02:10 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 00:00 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 05:19 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 21:05 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 20:58 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 65% |
Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket accurately predicted the Democratic sweep before polls closed, though a New York Times analysis found their overall accuracy matched traditional forecasts.
Kalshi Democrats, 12 to 14% 10% −28DraftKings stock fell over 26% after the company slashed its profit forecast to fund $700 million in prediction market investments.
Resolved Above 9.5% No 11h agoThe state joins Utah and others in legal action, with Attorney General Tim Griffin claiming the platform causes mental harm.
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