Above 4 million
Implied probability 72%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves14 May 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 19:15 UTC | 72% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if DraftKings reports an average of more than 4 million monthly unique payers during fiscal year 2026. It resolves to No if that average is 4 million or fewer. Readers often mistake the reporting date for the deadline, but the resolution depends on the specific fiscal year data, not when the news breaks.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 72%
- No 28%