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How much the press wrote about Benjamin Netanyahu each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 10:17 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 08:14 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 07:38 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 01:06 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 22:05 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 21:18 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 19:49 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 12:47 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 12:17 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 10:58 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 10:29 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 09:21 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 11:27 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 09:47 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 20:51 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 10:14 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 03:42 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 22:39 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 16:22 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 09:35 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 09:28 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 06:22 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 01:10 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 07:18 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 04:00 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 21:14 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 18:42 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 23% |
Israeli leaders are negotiating to form a government after the election produced no clear majority, while US midterms signal shifting support for Israel.
Kalshi Benjamin Netanyahu 6% −6President Isaac Herzog meets party leaders to decide whether Benjamin Netanyahu or Gadi Eisenkot forms the coalition, while Netanyahu seeks US strikes on Iran.
The president claims a prior agreement with Benjamin Netanyahu to halt the annual $3.8bn package, citing reduced need amid ongoing conflict.
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